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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vera vs. Martinez | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | −1 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Vera to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +2 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | −15 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Martinez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +1 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −1 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −8 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | tcp2 | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | laoli6682 fills | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $10,390 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  sharpmonkey3 fills | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $7,269 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | pbshine | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Massimo24 | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $4,050 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Monisi | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $1,881 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  0xLoneStar | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $5,309 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Justluck9 | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $3,629 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | jaotrade | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | rbsp | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez97¢ → 100¢ | $4,668 | +$131 +2.8% | 5 |
| 237d | laoli6683 fills | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez97¢ → 100¢ | $9,112 | +$288 +3.2% | 5 |
| 237d | almet | Vera vs. Martinez | SellMartinez95¢ → 100¢ | $2,137 | −$109 −5.1% | — |
| 237d | jaotrade | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez97¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$35 +3.1% | 5 |
| 237d |  wowfarm | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez92¢ → 100¢ | $3,910 | +$340 +8.7% | 7 |
| 237d | hollyber7 fills | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez90¢ → 100¢ | $22,754 | +$2,397 +11% | 7 |
| 237d | 6yuyurrg | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera27¢ → 0¢ | $5,400 | −$5,400 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | BoggsFromShawshank2 fills | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $28,490 | +$10,010 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | Notable-Future | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera27¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 20 |
| 237d | sharpmonkey | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$364 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | Massimo24 | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,054 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | djaklsdjla1..02zm | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$390 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | Justluck9 | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | +$944 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | acorp | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$457 +35% | 13 |
| 237d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera27¢ → 0¢ | $5,400 | −$5,400 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | Monisi | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | +$489 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | CanadianGoose | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$390 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | Jdhdhduu | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera27¢ → 0¢ | $8,100 | −$8,100 −100% | 14 |
| 237d |  sleepy-panda4 fills | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera27¢ → 0¢ | $21,650 | −$21,650 −100% | 9 |
| 237d |  Goopah | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera27¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | joosangyoo | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera26¢ → 0¢ | $13,967 | −$13,967 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | almet | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$444 +35% | 13 |
| 237d |  DavidShekel | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera26¢ → 0¢ | $1,065 | −$1,065 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | lpcapital13 fills | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyVera27¢ → 0¢ | $7,739 | −$7,739 −100% | 14 |
| 237d | ChompChomp888 | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez74¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$2,811 +35% | 13 |
| 237d | ckw | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez72¢ → 100¢ | $5,928 | +$2,306 +39% | 11 |
| 238d | quiteimprobable | Vera vs. Martinez | BuyMartinez73¢ → 100¢ | $5,984 | +$2,213 +37% | 9 |
Avarice317,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Vera" if Marlon Vera is officially declared the winner of the fight against David Martinez at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Martinez" if David Martinez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Vera vs. Martinez means the market gives it about 0%.