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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kuse to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barbosa to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62d |  Vladooos | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | SellMarcio Barbosa>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | tennischamp | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | SellMarcio Barbosa99¢ → 100¢ | $26,703 | −$270 −1.0% | — |
| 62d | TheWindKnowsmyName3 fills | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | BuyMarcio Barbosa91¢ → 100¢ | $3,192 | +$313 +9.8% | 7 |
| 62d | PeanutButterAndJelly | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | BuyMarcio Barbosa89¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$550 +12% | 8 |
| 62d | tennischamp3 fills | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | BuyMarcio Barbosa88¢ → 100¢ | $23,013 | +$3,138 +14% | 8 |
| 62d | Vladooos | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | BuyMarcio Barbosa88¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | +$192 +14% | 8 |
| 62d | Liverpool1 | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | BuyMarcio Barbosa88¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | +$274 +14% | 8 |
| 62d | jaytee158 | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | BuyMarcio Barbosa88¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | +$900 +14% | 8 |
| 62d | CanadianGoose2 fills | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | BuyMarcio Barbosa89¢ → 100¢ | $24,890 | +$3,110 +12% | 8 |
| 63d |  elmcap2 | Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse | BuyMarcio Barbosa87¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$162 +15% | 6 |
MakeAmericaBetAgain1,514 shares
dovetail1,300 sharesThis market will resolve to "Marcio Barbosa" if Marcio Barbosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Kuse at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryan Kuse" if Ryan Kuse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse means the market gives it about 100%.