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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Soares to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Soares in Round 1 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · >99¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Miyaguchi to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Soares in Round 2 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Soares in Round 3 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miyaguchi in Round 1 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miyaguchi in Round 2 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miyaguchi in Round 3 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d | bigonze | Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi | SellMateus Soares>99¢ | $1,290 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | bigonze | Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi | BuyMateus Soares84¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$207 +19% | 9 |
| 17d | name-no-name | Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi | BuyMateus Soares82¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$326 +22% | 9 |
RollAwayTheDew1,010 sharesThis market will resolve to "Mateus Soares" if Mateus Soares is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryuho Miyaguchi at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9, scheduled for October 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryuho Miyaguchi" if Ryuho Miyaguchi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi means the market gives it about 100%.