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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +66 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | 0% | −26 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −27 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −41 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baghdasaryan to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −19 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Magomedov to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −28 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −74 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −59 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −44 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124d |  robota | O/U 2.5 Rounds | SellUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 124d | tennischamp | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | SellMurtazali Magomedov>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 124d | kutsumiakia | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | SellMurtazali Magomedov>99¢ | $1,417 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 124d | JoeytheReal | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | SellMurtazali Magomedov>99¢ | $1,418 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 124d |  Midrunner | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,924 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 124d |  thebluegem | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | BuyMurtazali Magomedov92¢ → 100¢ | $4,352 | +$376 +8.6% | 7 |
| 124d | kutsumiakia | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | BuyMurtazali Magomedov81¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$266 +23% | 10 |
| 124d | fackoff | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | BuyMurtazali Magomedov81¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$705 +24% | 10 |
| 124d | JoeytheReal | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | BuyMurtazali Magomedov81¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$270 +23% | 10 |
| 124d | tennischamp | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$449 +41% | 14 |
| 124d | tennischamp | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | BuyMurtazali Magomedov81¢ → 100¢ | $6,480 | +$1,520 +23% | 10 |
| 124d | Costly-Lifetime | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver60¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 17 |
| 124d | GamblingOdyssey | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | BuyMurtazali Magomedov81¢ → 100¢ | $15,390 | +$3,610 +23% | 10 |
| 124d | olddirtyfighter | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | BuyMurtazali Magomedov81¢ → 100¢ | $1,591 | +$376 +24% | 10 |
| 124d |  elmcap2 | Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov | BuyMurtazali Magomedov78¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$359 +28% | 10 |
shahsports5 sharesThis market will resolve to "Melsik Baghdasaryan" if Melsik Baghdasaryan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Murtazali Magomedov at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Murtazali Magomedov" if Murtazali Magomedov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fight won by submission? means the market gives it about 100%.