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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Janicic to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Gugnon to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · 15¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84d | Whirlwind-Loss | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon>99¢ | $1,960 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  ethanweng | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon>99¢ | $5,644 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  Midrunner | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
| 84d | epend | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon>99¢ | $12,299 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | RJROS | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon>99¢ | $1,957 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | Yawning-Chicken | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon>99¢ | $30,819 | −$31 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | MadeiraIsland | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon>99¢ | $1,043 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  digitalnomad85 | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon>99¢ | $4,131 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | Black-Bondsman | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | tennischamp | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 84d |  GordinhoDoAlfa | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon93¢ → 100¢ | $7,183 | −$541 −7.5% | — |
| 84d | hanlun | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon88¢ → 100¢ | $2,303 | +$315 +14% | 7 |
| 84d | Yawning-Chicken6 fills | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon52¢ → 100¢ | $13,590 | +$12,683 +93% | 12 |
| 84d | chicken123455 | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | SellNoah Gugnon70¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | −$575 −44% | — |
| 84d |  GeepaP | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic47¢ → 0¢ | $1,243 | −$1,243 −100% | 12 |
| 84d |  47513464 fills | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon51¢ → 100¢ | $4,046 | +$3,954 +98% | 12 |
| 84d | shoemanhere | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon50¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | +$2,040 +100% | 12 |
| 84d | predictiondiablo | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon50¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$1,403 +100% | 12 |
| 84d | Fuzzy-Yoga | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon50¢ → 100¢ | $1,616 | +$1,616 +100% | 12 |
| 84d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon50¢ → 100¢ | $4,789 | +$4,869 +102% | 12 |
| 84d | epend | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon50¢ → 100¢ | $6,156 | +$6,156 +100% | 12 |
| 84d |  LarryDaddy2 fills | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic55¢ → 0¢ | $2,900 | −$2,900 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | Nutritious-Shelf | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | C63AMG | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon46¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$1,647 +117% | 12 |
| 84d | gangmusic | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon46¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$2,700 +117% | 12 |
| 84d | tennischamp | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon47¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$1,178 +113% | 12 |
| 84d | VPenguin | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic52¢ → 0¢ | $1,259 | −$1,259 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | riverskew3 fills | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic52¢ → 0¢ | $14,659 | −$14,659 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | ferrariChampions2026 | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyNoah Gugnon49¢ → 100¢ | $12,090 | +$12,583 +104% | 12 |
| 84d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic51¢ → 0¢ | $1,228 | −$1,228 −100% | 12 |
| 84d |  KioskJammer2 fills | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic51¢ → 0¢ | $2,154 | −$2,154 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | Worldly-Blind | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic52¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | Talvez10 | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic50¢ → 0¢ | $4,327 | −$4,327 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | adfjo | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver79¢ → 0¢ | $1,185 | −$1,185 −100% | 10 |
| 84d | Shocked-Prospect | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver75¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | −$1,125 −100% | 11 |
| 84d | M1M19 | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic50¢ → 0¢ | $1,611 | −$1,611 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | C63AMG | Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon | BuyMilos Janicic49¢ → 0¢ | $7,273 | −$7,273 −100% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Milos Janicic" if Milos Janicic is officially declared the winner of the fight against Noah Gugnon at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Noah Gugnon" if Noah Gugnon is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fight won by submission? means the market gives it about 100%.