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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charrière vs. Costa | 0% | −43 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −75 pts | −70 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charrière win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −21 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −88 pts | −80 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Costa win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +93 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +74 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −65 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −57 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −22 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313d |  nba | Charrière vs. Costa | SellCosta>99¢ | $1,644 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | 6yuyurrg | Charrière vs. Costa | SellCosta>99¢ | $7,795 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | WuTangClan | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | noloanplz | Charrière vs. Costa | SellCosta>99¢ | $4,424 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | WuTangClan | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,366 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | WuTangClan | Charrière win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,021 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | aviato | Costa win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | aviato | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$80 +2.0% | 5 |
| 313d |  1sk | Costa win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,697 | +$50 +1.4% | 4 |
| 313d | borntoolate.eth | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 313d | borntoolate.eth2 fills | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $6,013 | +$87 +1.4% | 4 |
| 313d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Costa win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,139 | +$161 +5.1% | 6 |
| 313d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Charrière win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,773 | +$69 +1.5% | 4 |
| 313d | borntoolate.eth | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder96¢ → 100¢ | $8,560 | +$314 +3.7% | 5 |
| 313d | 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,915 | +$314 +4.0% | 5 |
| 313d | LlamaEnjoyer | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder96¢ → 100¢ | $4,445 | +$188 +4.2% | 5 |
| 313d | 6yuyurrg | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta97¢ → 100¢ | $5,644 | +$170 +3.0% | 5 |
| 313d | noloanplz | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta61¢ → 100¢ | $2,696 | +$1,733 +64% | 14 |
| 313d | knoxgold | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta59¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$800 +69% | 14 |
| 313d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089152 fills | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta60¢ → 100¢ | $6,427 | +$4,285 +67% | 14 |
| 314d | endxd | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCharrière41¢ → 0¢ | $2,460 | −$2,460 −100% | 14 |
| 314d |  berboche | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCharrière41¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 12 |
| 314d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCharrière41¢ → 0¢ | $1,601 | −$1,601 −100% | 12 |
| 314d | Anointed-Connect3 fills | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta58¢ → 100¢ | $8,259 | +$6,038 +73% | 9 |
| 314d | c4c4 | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCharrière44¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 12 |
| 314d | Dingwin | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 12 |
| 314d | ghostt4 | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta56¢ → 100¢ | $3,302 | +$2,594 +79% | 12 |
| 315d | JamaicanBobsledTeam3 fills | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta56¢ → 100¢ | $18,984 | +$14,916 +79% | 9 |
| 315d |  Socialista | Charrière vs. Costa | SellCosta52¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$1,177 −92% | — |
| 315d | urgencista | Charrière vs. Costa | SellCharrière47¢ → 0¢ | $1,439 | +$1,439 +100% | — |
| 315d | Socialista | Charrière vs. Costa | BuyCosta53¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$1,295 +89% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Charrière" if Morgan Charrière is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melquizael Costa at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025. It will resolve to "Costa" if Melquizael Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Charrière vs. Costa means the market gives it about 0%.