Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | 0% | −22 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −39 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keita to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +49 pts | +51 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −44 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +17 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −8 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +38 pts | +44 pts | 85¢ · 100¢ (15¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −59 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Naimov to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −1 pts | −42 pts | — · 15¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48d | zumbizera10 | Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | SellLosene Keita99¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 48d | nbafan882 fills | Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | SellLosene Keita97¢ → 100¢ | $3,972 | −$131 −3.3% | — |
| 48d | nbafan882 fills | Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | BuyLosene Keita91¢ → 100¢ | $3,716 | +$389 +10% | 7 |
| 48d | RaulRosasJr | Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | BuyLosene Keita85¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$266 +18% | 8 |
| 48d | Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | BuyLosene Keita79¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | +$488 +27% | 10 | |
| 48d | TheWindKnowsmyName | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | +$919 +51% | 12 |
| 48d | Pastourmas | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,109 +55% | 12 |
| 48d | jaytee158 | Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | BuyLosene Keita77¢ → 100¢ | $5,775 | +$1,725 +30% | 10 |
| 48d | christianox | Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | BuyLosene Keita78¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$1,100 +28% | 10 |
| 49d | CanadianGoose | Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita | BuyLosene Keita78¢ → 100¢ | $7,410 | +$2,090 +28% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Muhammad Naimov" if Muhammad Naimov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Muhammad Naimov vs. Losene Keita means the market gives it about 0%.