Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naimov vs. Santos | 0% | −31 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −65 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −14 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +52 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +26 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −67 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Naimov win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +60 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santos win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +75 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321d | 6yuyurrg | Naimov vs. Santos | SellSantos>99¢ | $6,857 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,404 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Santos win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,382 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Naimov win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,517 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,077 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,333 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,517 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,382 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,014 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | +$35 +1.8% | 5 | |
| 321d | 6yuyurrg | Naimov vs. Santos | BuySantos81¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$366 +23% | 10 |
| 321d | Naimov vs. Santos | SellSantos80¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | −$510 −25% | — | |
| 321d | leo0770 | Naimov vs. Santos | BuySantos73¢ → 100¢ | $3,702 | +$1,369 +37% | 13 |
| 321d | Naimov vs. Santos | BuySantos69¢ → 100¢ | $1,777 | +$798 +45% | 14 | |
| 321d | Naimov vs. Santos | BuySantos69¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$985 +45% | 14 | |
| 321d | Garrythesnail | Naimov vs. Santos | BuySantos67¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$597 +49% | 12 |
| 322d | MelkyWrld8 | Naimov vs. Santos | SellNaimov30¢ → 0¢ | $1,270 | +$1,270 +100% | — |
| 322d | MelkyWrld8 | Naimov vs. Santos | BuyNaimov36¢ → 0¢ | $1,491 | −$1,491 −100% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Naimov" if Muhammad Naimov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mairon Santos at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Santos" if Mairon Santos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Naimov vs. Santos means the market gives it about 0%.