Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batbayar vs. Tau | 50% | −4 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | −35 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | +27 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | −18 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Batbayar to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +28 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tau to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +29 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | +6 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +20 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | −3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 267d | Batbayar vs. Tau | BuyTau49¢ → 50¢ | $19,037 | +$289 +1.5% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Batbayar" if Namsrai Batbayar is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aaron Tau at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Tau" if Aaron Tau is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Batbayar vs. Tau means the market gives it about 50%.