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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | 100% | +35 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +31 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 100% | +29 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Silva to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | +23 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +17 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cong to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 100% | +36 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −24 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 100% | +33 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | −15 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +11 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +6 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 5? | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Silva in Round 2 | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cong in Round 1 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 4? | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Silva in Round 1 | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Silva in Round 3 | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Silva in Round 4 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Silva in Round 5 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cong in Round 2 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cong in Round 3 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cong in Round 4 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cong in Round 5 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | Youthful-MeatNew account | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | SellNatalia Silva>99¢ | $1,844 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | confusedinlife | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | SellNatalia Silva>99¢ | $2,426 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | i.i.ilo | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | SellNatalia Silva>99¢ | $4,968 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | Madeira99 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | SellNatalia Silva>99¢ | $5,176 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 19d |  digitalnomad85 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | SellNatalia Silva>99¢ | $2,305 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | kutsumiakia | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | SellNatalia Silva>99¢ | $2,967 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | curie5 fills | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva96¢ → 100¢ | $19,320 | +$893 +4.6% | 5 |
| 19d | Substantial-Service3 fills | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva91¢ → 100¢ | $18,513 | +$1,856 +10% | 7 |
| 19d |  coinlaundry4 fills | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva97¢ → 100¢ | $7,778 | +$235 +3.0% | 5 |
| 19d |  36483934890473 fills | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva72¢ → 100¢ | $15,851 | +$6,224 +39% | 13 |
| 19d | 3648393489047 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | SellNatalia Silva89¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | −$215 −12% | — |
| 19d | 2HAE | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva91¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$205 +10% | 7 |
| 19d |  WallStreetGamer | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva81¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$383 +24% | 10 |
| 19d | confusedinlife | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva81¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$237 +24% | 10 |
| 19d | i.i.ilo | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $3,245 | +$1,729 +53% | 14 |
| 19d | kutsumiakia | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | +$1,040 +54% | 14 |
| 19d | b324u | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong36¢ → 0¢ | $3,034 | −$3,034 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | Madeira99 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $4,070 | +$2,191 +54% | 14 |
| 19d |  0xwise | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong36¢ → 0¢ | $1,666 | −$1,666 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | Youthful-MeatNew account | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$646 +54% | 29 |
| 19d | Saric-Marko | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$544 +54% | 14 |
| 19d | 0x4948…c785 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$808 +54% | 14 |
| 19d | Sassy-Bucket2 fills | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $203,428 | +$109K +54% | 12 |
| 19d |  GeepaP | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong36¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | WYNNERBACC2 fills | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong35¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | gmpm22 fills | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong35¢ → 0¢ | $46,388 | −$46,388 −100% | 14 |
| 19d | 0x0d58…fb04 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva66¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$773 +52% | 14 |
| 19d | issacpphpotp | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva66¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$773 +52% | 14 |
| 19d |  billy578 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong35¢ → 0¢ | $7,000 | −$7,000 −100% | 14 |
| 20d |  TrentaColdBrew | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong35¢ → 0¢ | $3,150 | −$3,150 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | Substantial-Service | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong34¢ → 0¢ | $60,372 | −$60,372 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | omnibus-076daa | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong34¢ → 0¢ | $4,334 | −$4,334 −100% | 14 |
| 20d |  Painfulvoid | O/U 4.5 Rounds | BuyOver69¢ → 100¢ | $7,038 | +$3,162 +45% | 12 |
| 20d | Talvez10 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $9,371 | +$5,046 +54% | 12 |
| 20d | ForMyFamily1 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,077 +54% | 12 |
| 20d | ninenein | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong36¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | SaylorMoon | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong36¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | fractional2 fills | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | +$1,505 +54% | 6 |
| 20d | digitalnomad85 | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$808 +54% | 12 |
| 25d |  hanbetscap | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyWang Cong36¢ → 0¢ | $1,979 | −$1,979 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | chillballer | Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong | BuyNatalia Silva65¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,593 +53% | 6 |
billy57820,000 sharesTrentaColdBrew9,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Natalia Silva" if Natalia Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Wang Cong at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Wang Cong" if Wang Cong is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong means the market gives it about 100%.