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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +67 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Magny vs. Amosov | 0% | −21 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −33 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −18 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Magny win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −16 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Amosov win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −25 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314d |  WistfulHunger | Magny vs. Amosov | SellAmosov>99¢ | $1,218 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | rwo | Fight won by submission? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,536 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | rwo | Magny win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,701 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | rwo | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | rwo | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,524 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d |  Gamblerrrrrr | Magny vs. Amosov | SellAmosov>99¢ | $1,496 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | tcp2 | Magny vs. Amosov | SellAmosov>99¢ | $1,632 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | chikago | Magny vs. Amosov | SellAmosov99¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 314d | latinalover | Magny vs. Amosov | SellAmosov99¢ → 100¢ | $2,415 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 314d | borntoolate.eth | Amosov win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,797 | +$232 +4.8% | 6 |
| 314d | borntoolate.eth | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyAmosov97¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$59 +2.7% | 5 |
| 314d | sdg-038 | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyAmosov82¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$228 +23% | 10 |
| 314d |  myjob | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyAmosov82¢ → 100¢ | $8,776 | +$1,927 +22% | 10 |
| 314d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089152 fills | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyAmosov82¢ → 100¢ | $11,741 | +$2,577 +22% | 10 |
| 314d | latinalover | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyAmosov82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$439 +22% | 10 |
| 314d |  Cracotte2 fills | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyMagny22¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 314d | Cracotte | Magny vs. Amosov | SellMagny17¢ → 0¢ | $1,343 | +$1,343 +100% | — |
| 314d | CanadianGoose | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyAmosov82¢ → 100¢ | $4,032 | +$885 +22% | 10 |
| 314d |  Jeieidbxiwowohd | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyMagny46¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 14 |
| 314d | 2h1gh | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyAmosov82¢ → 100¢ | $9,838 | +$2,122 +22% | 10 |
| 315d | chikago | Magny vs. Amosov | BuyAmosov79¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$259 +26% | 7 |
This market will resolve to "Magny" if Neil Magny is officially declared the winner of the fight against Yaroslav Amosov at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025. It will resolve to "Amosov" if Yaroslav Amosov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fight won by submission? means the market gives it about 100%.