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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele | 43% | — | — | 42¢ · 43¢ (1¢) | $4.81K | in 19h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 34% | −2 pts | — | 33¢ · 35¢ (2¢) | $516 | in 19h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 32% | +2 pts | — | 29¢ · 34¢ (5¢) | $17.2 | in 19h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 35% | −15 pts | — | 31¢ · 39¢ (8¢) | — | in 19h |
| Gugnon to win by KO/TKO? | 18% | −5 pts | — | 14¢ · 21¢ (7¢) | — | in 19h |
| Steele to win by KO/TKO? | 20% | −21 pts | — | 17¢ · 23¢ (6¢) | — | in 19h |
| Fight won by submission? | 32% | −8 pts | — | 27¢ · 36¢ (9¢) | — | in 19h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 83% | +20 pts | — | 78¢ · 87¢ (9¢) | — | in 19h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 57% | +3 pts | — | 54¢ · 61¢ (7¢) | — | in 19h |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 41% | — | — | 39¢ · 42¢ (3¢) | — | in 19h |
| Fight won by decision? | 35% | −16 pts | — | 30¢ · 39¢ (9¢) | — | in 19h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 56% | +2 pts | — | 55¢ · 58¢ (3¢) | — | in 19h |
| Gugnon in Round 1 | 12% | −39 pts | — | 7¢ · 16¢ (9¢) | — | in 19h |
| Gugnon in Round 2 | 10% | −41 pts | — | 5¢ · 15¢ (10¢) | — | in 19h |
| Gugnon in Round 3 | 6% | −44 pts | — | 3¢ · 9¢ (6¢) | — | in 19h |
| Steele in Round 1 | 20% | −31 pts | — | 15¢ · 25¢ (10¢) | — | in 19h |
| Steele in Round 2 | 16% | −35 pts | — | 11¢ · 20¢ (9¢) | — | in 19h |
| Steele in Round 3 | 7% | −43 pts | — | 3¢ · 10¢ (7¢) | — | in 19h |
| Decision or Draw | 35% | −16 pts | — | 30¢ · 39¢ (9¢) | — | in 19h |
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G.Hchen300 shares
digitalnomad851,724 shares
LaManada155 shares
VeryLucky888127 sharesThis market will resolve to "Noah Gugnon" if Noah Gugnon is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kody Steele at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Kody Steele" if Kody Steele is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 43¢ for Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele means the market gives it about 43%.