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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo | 22% | −1 pts | — | 21¢ · 22¢ (1¢) | $5.43K | in 17h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 67% | −2 pts | — | 65¢ · 68¢ (3¢) | $751 | in 17h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 83% | +9 pts | — | 72¢ · 94¢ (22¢) | $93.3 | in 17h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 32% | +2 pts | — | 16¢ · 48¢ (32¢) | $40 | in 17h |
| Fight won by submission? | 32% | +1 pts | — | 16¢ · 48¢ (32¢) | $30.3 | in 17h |
| Caliari to win by KO/TKO? | 25% | −2 pts | — | 1¢ · 49¢ (48¢) | — | in 17h |
| Lucindo to win by KO/TKO? | 17% | −13 pts | — | 10¢ · 23¢ (13¢) | — | in 17h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 70% | +2 pts | — | 55¢ · 85¢ (30¢) | — | in 17h |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 71% | — | — | 69¢ · 72¢ (3¢) | — | in 17h |
| Fight won by decision? | 65% | +3 pts | — | 59¢ · 70¢ (11¢) | — | in 17h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 29% | — | — | 8¢ · 50¢ (42¢) | — | in 17h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 35% | — | — | 19¢ · 50¢ (31¢) | — | in 17h |
| Caliari in Round 1 | 26% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 17h |
| Caliari in Round 2 | 26% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 17h |
| Caliari in Round 3 | 26% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 17h |
| Lucindo in Round 1 | 28% | +1 pts | — | 6¢ · 50¢ (44¢) | — | in 17h |
| Lucindo in Round 2 | 27% | +1 pts | — | 4¢ · 50¢ (46¢) | — | in 17h |
| Lucindo in Round 3 | 27% | +1 pts | — | 4¢ · 50¢ (46¢) | — | in 17h |
| Decision or Draw | 60% | −2 pts | — | 50¢ · 70¢ (20¢) | — | in 17h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | omnibus-076daa | Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo | BuyIasmin Lucindo78¢ → 79¢ | $11,594 | +$42 +0.4% | 22 |
VeryLucky8883,149 shares
Socialista1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Nicolle Caliari" if Nicolle Caliari is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iasmin Lucindo at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Iasmin Lucindo" if Iasmin Lucindo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 22¢ for Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo means the market gives it about 22%.