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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | 100% | +57 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −33 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +59 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −16 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Price to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +65 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −46 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +42 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −60 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shahbazyan in Round 1 | 0% | −41 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Price in Round 1 | 100% | +68 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shahbazyan to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +24 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Price in Round 3 | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Price in Round 2 | 0% | −28 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −31 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shahbazyan in Round 2 | 0% | −27 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shahbazyan in Round 3 | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −30 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d |  gangdoo | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | SellNiko Price>99¢ | $2,348 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | masterkopeek | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | SellNiko Price>99¢ | $1,090 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | curie | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyNiko Price44¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$1,340 +127% | 14 |
| 13d | madkkee | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyLeon Shahbazyan58¢ → 0¢ | $2,353 | −$2,353 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | curie | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyLeon Shahbazyan59¢ → 0¢ | $5,321 | −$5,321 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Substantial-Service | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyLeon Shahbazyan58¢ → 0¢ | $9,462 | −$9,462 −100% | 14 |
| 13d |  mateodlb | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyLeon Shahbazyan56¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 13d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyLeon Shahbazyan56¢ → 0¢ | $16,800 | −$16,800 −100% | 14 |
| 13d |  Kosherlocks | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder68¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$1,393 +46% | 14 |
| 13d |  hanbetscap | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyLeon Shahbazyan56¢ → 0¢ | $1,957 | −$1,957 −100% | 14 |
| 13d |  scootergene | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyNiko Price45¢ → 100¢ | $13,822 | +$17,084 +124% | 14 |
| 13d | isp | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyNiko Price43¢ → 100¢ | $7,067 | +$9,367 +133% | 12 |
| 13d | ic4cream6 fills | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyNiko Price42¢ → 100¢ | $14,159 | +$19,552 +138% | 12 |
| 13d | 0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283 | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyNiko Price42¢ → 100¢ | $6,948 | +$9,596 +138% | 12 |
| 13d |  Painfulvoid | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyNiko Price42¢ → 100¢ | $9,660 | +$13,340 +138% | 12 |
| 13d | Bagwell3062 fills | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyNiko Price42¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | +$3,480 +138% | 12 |
| 13d | Talvez10 | Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan | BuyLeon Shahbazyan58¢ → 0¢ | $28,902 | −$28,902 −100% | 12 |
Outsid3rTrading6,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner of the fight against Leon Shahbazyan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Leon Shahbazyan" if Leon Shahbazyan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan means the market gives it about 100%.