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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +41 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Haig to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Növényi Jr. in Round 3 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +70 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Növényi Jr. to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +70 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Növényi Jr. in Round 1 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Növényi Jr. in Round 2 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Haig in Round 1 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Haig in Round 2 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Haig in Round 3 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 100% | +45 pts | — | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | GEAEW2 fills | Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig | BuyNorbert Növényi Jr.89¢ → 100¢ | $3,146 | +$406 +13% | 8 |
| 31d |  3648393489047 | Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig | BuyNorbert Növényi Jr.82¢ → 100¢ | $10,458 | +$2,323 +22% | 10 |
Judas-Priest5,715 shares
LiquidatedDegen1,553 shares
GeepaP1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Norbert Növényi Jr." if Norbert Növényi Jr. is officially declared the winner of the fight against Theo Haig at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Theo Haig" if Theo Haig is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig means the market gives it about 100%.