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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott vs. Micallef | 0% | −46 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −65 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −62 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elliott win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −23 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Micallef win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +82 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +12 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +26 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | Stormy-Sherbet | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $2,360 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  SwissMiss | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $1,985 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Donghui | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | RipNDip | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | WYNNERBACC | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $12,764 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | WuTangClan | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,081 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,493 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,316 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,286 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Elliott win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,286 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Micallef win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,286 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Fight won by submission? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,442 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | 20Nick00 | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $1,159 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | 6yuyurrg | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $5,327 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  DickTurbin | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $10,512 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | WuTangClan | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,456 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d |  berboche | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef>99¢ | $2,461 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | 6yuyurrg | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef97¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$47 +3.3% | 5 |
| 265d | lablet | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyElliott66¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | −$1,051 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | leo0770 | Elliott vs. Micallef | SellMicallef51¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | −$1,470 −96% | — |
| 265d | leo0770 | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef51¢ → 100¢ | $2,551 | +$2,449 +96% | 12 |
| 265d | sportmaster2e | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyElliott46¢ → 0¢ | $3,919 | −$3,919 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | DickTurbin | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef55¢ → 100¢ | $1,711 | +$1,400 +82% | 12 |
| 265d | Donghui | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef55¢ → 100¢ | $16,500 | +$13,500 +82% | 12 |
| 265d | berboche | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef55¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$1,109 +82% | 12 |
| 265d | SammySledge | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef54¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$1,025 +85% | 12 |
| 265d | Notsolidgett | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyElliott46¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 12 |
| 265d |  myjob | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyElliott46¢ → 0¢ | $1,995 | −$1,995 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | Tbonepro | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef55¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$1,350 +82% | 12 |
| 265d | c4c42 fills | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyElliott46¢ → 0¢ | $9,467 | −$9,467 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | KirksCousin | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyElliott46¢ → 0¢ | $4,600 | −$4,600 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | Dingwin | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyElliott46¢ → 0¢ | $3,680 | −$3,680 −100% | 12 |
| 265d |  einfy | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef54¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$915 +85% | 12 |
| 266d | quiteimprobable3 fills | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyElliott47¢ → 0¢ | $5,700 | −$5,700 −100% | 9 |
| 266d |  DefNotJonasTheWolf | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef54¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$1,008 +85% | 9 |
| 268d | lonzoball | Elliott vs. Micallef | BuyMicallef58¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$1,142 +73% | 6 |
sunflowaa2,428 shares
guillermo-dog1,846 sharesThis market will resolve to "Elliott" if Oban Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jonathan Micallef at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Micallef" if Jonathan Micallef is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Elliott vs. Micallef means the market gives it about 0%.