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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | 0% | −23 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −61 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −33 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliveira to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +42 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +37 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −9 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −41 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elliott to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −9 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −84 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84d |  errormargin3 | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | SellMichael Oliveira>99¢ | $19,322 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | SellMichael Oliveira>99¢ | $1,903 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  sharpmonkey | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | SellMichael Oliveira>99¢ | $1,459 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | kutsumiakia | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | SellMichael Oliveira>99¢ | $2,153 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | Excentrico | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | SellMichael Oliveira>99¢ | $6,235 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | encogniti | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | SellMichael Oliveira>99¢ | $1,262 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | tennischamp | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | SellMichael Oliveira99¢ → 100¢ | $8,389 | −$85 −1.0% | — |
| 84d | Excentrico | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira93¢ → 100¢ | $5,800 | +$441 +7.6% | 6 |
| 84d | errormargin32 fills | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira91¢ → 100¢ | $17,625 | +$1,717 +9.7% | 6 |
| 84d | 6yuyurrg | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyOban Elliott25¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | kutsumiakia | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira77¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$488 +30% | 10 |
| 84d | Talvez105 fills | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyOban Elliott23¢ → 0¢ | $44,603 | −$44,603 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira78¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$314 +28% | 12 |
| 84d | hanlun | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira78¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$564 +28% | 10 |
| 84d |  sleepy-panda2 fills | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira78¢ → 100¢ | $3,387 | +$972 +29% | 10 |
| 84d |  Kosherlocks | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira78¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$1,974 +28% | 10 |
| 84d | surfandturf | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira76¢ → 100¢ | $56,002 | +$17,685 +32% | 10 |
| 84d | tennischamp | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira76¢ → 100¢ | $6,440 | +$2,034 +32% | 10 |
| 84d | 1moretimetowin | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira76¢ → 100¢ | $18,392 | +$5,808 +32% | 10 |
| 84d |  matanovik | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira76¢ → 100¢ | $2,969 | +$938 +32% | 10 |
| 84d | stakesking | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira76¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$622 +32% | 10 |
| 84d | isp | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder34¢ → 100¢ | $13,600 | +$26,400 +194% | 12 |
| 84d | ChompChomp888 | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira76¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$2,842 +32% | 10 |
| 84d |  dfsajdasfds | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder34¢ → 100¢ | $2,836 | +$5,504 +194% | 12 |
| 84d | sbsigner2 fills | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira76¢ → 100¢ | $8,373 | +$2,644 +32% | 10 |
| 84d | blesseddd | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder34¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$2,033 +194% | 12 |
| 84d | Talvez10 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver66¢ → 0¢ | $4,215 | −$4,215 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | CanadianGoose | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira77¢ → 100¢ | $3,597 | +$1,075 +30% | 10 |
| 84d | bubanana2 fills | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder38¢ → 100¢ | $4,397 | +$7,173 +163% | 12 |
| 84d | 1moretimetowin | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder38¢ → 100¢ | $4,953 | +$8,082 +163% | 12 |
| 84d |  BLN030 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder38¢ → 100¢ | $3,762 | +$6,138 +163% | 12 |
| 84d | ganjubasik1 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder38¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$2,328 +163% | 12 |
| 84d | 0way2 fills | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder38¢ → 100¢ | $4,891 | +$7,979 +163% | 12 |
| 84d | Jon-Anik-Fan | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyOban Elliott23¢ → 0¢ | $1,035 | −$1,035 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | Jaunty-Emergent | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira78¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$1,072 +28% | 12 |
| 84d |  elmcap2 | Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira | BuyMichael Oliveira77¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$324 +30% | 10 |
DOLLAR-PRINTER1,800 sharesThis market will resolve to "Oban Elliott" if Oban Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Michael Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Michael Oliveira" if Michael Oliveira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira means the market gives it about 0%.