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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | 100% | +67 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −56 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −42 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −42 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +30 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Costa to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +72 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +54 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +27 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $3,130 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  berboche | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $3,314 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | kevinfiederer1 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $3,187 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  lockrobster | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $4,161 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | deprived | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,107 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Delirious-Heel | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,491 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Misguided-Sock2 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $3,634 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  Kh4mz4t | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,702 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | xpppp | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $2,527 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | 6yuyurrg | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $16,264 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | bortoletofangirl | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,488 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | 0x1507…e175 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,007 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Easy-Stand | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,088 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | fourtyvolt | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $10,427 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | surfandturf | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $64,686 | −$65 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | BlueBalls69 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  E33xing | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,700 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  HuntersMethDealer | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa>99¢ | $1,080 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | agirlnamedAlice69 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa99¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 195d | TOPGWINNER | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 195d | mishipolis | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellPaulo Costa99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 195d | leo0770 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa52¢ → 100¢ | $2,524 | +$2,330 +92% | 14 |
| 195d | rndmb3 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov66¢ → 0¢ | $14,169 | −$14,169 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | hollyber | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov67¢ → 0¢ | $1,313 | −$1,313 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | IvanTuzin | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov70¢ → 0¢ | $1,442 | −$1,442 −100% | 14 |
| 195d |  rammus2 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa26¢ → 100¢ | $11,485 | +$32,296 +281% | 14 |
| 195d |  4751346 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellAzamat Murzakanov86¢ → 0¢ | $1,266 | +$1,266 +100% | — |
| 195d | 0xa4f5…10793 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov84¢ → 0¢ | $15,651 | −$15,651 −100% | 9 |
| 195d | Massimo24 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov84¢ → 0¢ | $4,953 | −$4,953 −100% | 9 |
| 195d |  cuti2 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellAzamat Murzakanov76¢ → 0¢ | $2,083 | +$2,083 +100% | — |
| 195d | hollyber | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa60¢ → 100¢ | $1,746 | +$1,181 +68% | 14 |
| 195d | Roulette1 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa68¢ → 100¢ | $7,809 | +$3,690 +47% | 14 |
| 195d |  WallStreetGamer | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa70¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$589 +43% | 14 |
| 195d | 6yuyurrg | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa71¢ → 100¢ | $8,240 | +$3,366 +41% | 14 |
| 195d | 7771x2 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa35¢ → 100¢ | $5,766 | +$10,744 +186% | 14 |
| 195d | ohuhusos2 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa31¢ → 100¢ | $60,833 | +$135K +222% | 14 |
| 195d | paulie9 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov71¢ → 0¢ | $1,965 | −$1,965 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | fourtyvolt | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa30¢ → 100¢ | $3,064 | +$7,149 +233% | 14 |
| 195d | operationcastle | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa30¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$3,353 +233% | 14 |
| 195d |  DONKEYFISHBET | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa30¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | +$3,018 +233% | 14 |
| 195d | mishipolis | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | SellAzamat Murzakanov70¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | +$1,400 +100% | — |
| 195d | Onomatopoeia7772 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov70¢ → 0¢ | $51,555 | −$51,555 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | BaccaratRoulette | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa31¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | +$3,513 +223% | 14 |
| 195d | mudman882 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $46,497 | −$46,497 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | vbv19 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $14,544 | −$14,544 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | BoggsFromShawshank | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $15,311 | −$15,311 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | 0x6e59…beee | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $1,449 | −$1,449 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | 0xd100…853d | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $4,907 | −$4,907 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | 0x86fb…03d4 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $4,907 | −$4,907 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | pilotlady | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $2,454 | −$2,454 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | 051432 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov68¢ → 0¢ | $127,214 | −$127K −100% | 9 |
| 195d |  greg.the.eggg | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa32¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$2,609 +213% | 14 |
| 195d | rotterdamm | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $992 | −$992 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | surfandturf | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa31¢ → 100¢ | $22,620 | +$50,347 +223% | 14 |
| 195d | 0x0limit | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa31¢ → 100¢ | $3,566 | +$7,937 +223% | 14 |
| 195d | BTCGambler2473 fills | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov69¢ → 0¢ | $22,940 | −$22,940 −100% | 4 |
| 195d | usdt4321 | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov70¢ → 0¢ | $3,050 | −$3,050 −100% | 14 |
| 195d |  JustADonk | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa31¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$3,674 +223% | 14 |
| 195d | randomniynickname | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyAzamat Murzakanov70¢ → 0¢ | $2,599 | −$2,599 −100% | 14 |
| 195d | chowfun | Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov | BuyPaulo Costa31¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$3,299 +223% | 14 |
Misstake4,560 sharesThis market will resolve to "Paulo Costa" if Paulo Costa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Azamat Murzakanov at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Azamat Murzakanov" if Azamat Murzakanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov means the market gives it about 100%.