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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano | 100% | +80 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ariano in Round 3 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| LaGrange to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ariano in Round 1 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ariano to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ariano in Round 2 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| LaGrange in Round 1 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| LaGrange in Round 2 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| LaGrange in Round 3 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d | 0x9698…2504 | Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano | SellPreston LaGrange>99¢ | $2,056 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | wtylyjwyz | Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano | SellPreston LaGrange>99¢ | $1,506 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | bigonze | Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano | BuyNell Ariano78¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | −$1,095 −100% | 11 |
| 17d | 375729 | Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano | BuyNell Ariano77¢ → 0¢ | $1,664 | −$1,664 −100% | 12 |
| 17d | ox1star84 | Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano | BuyNell Ariano83¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | −$1,135 −100% | 9 |
| 17d | tornabus | Ariano in Round 3 | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$928 +82% | 12 |
Socialista1,777 sharesThis market will resolve to "Preston LaGrange" if Preston LaGrange is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nell Ariano at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9, scheduled for October 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Nell Ariano" if Nell Ariano is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano means the market gives it about 100%.