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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | 0% | −31 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +66 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +58 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donchenko to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −44 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +38 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Soriano to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −13 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −58 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +17 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48d | AnonymousPerson | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyDaniil Donchenko>99¢ | $3,129 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 48d |  ferenc89 | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyDaniil Donchenko99¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 48d | NXYD | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyDaniil Donchenko98¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$32 +2.0% | 5 |
| 48d | pagliacci4 | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyDaniil Donchenko98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 5 |
| 48d | TheWindKnowsmyName | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$466 +41% | 12 |
| 48d | TheWindKnowsmyName3 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $7,382 | −$7,382 −100% | 11 |
| 48d | MahammadBruceLee | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyDaniil Donchenko68¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$612 +47% | 12 |
| 48d |  Kosherlocks | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyDaniil Donchenko68¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,882 +47% | 12 |
| 48d | Pastourmas | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder64¢ → 0¢ | $1,748 | −$1,748 −100% | 12 |
| 48d |  RollAwayTheDew | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$2,584 +257% | 12 |
| 48d |  feelingsuicidal | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $4,871 | +$12,526 +257% | 12 |
| 48d | kkookkoo | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,118 | −$2,118 −100% | 12 |
| 48d |  PlatinumGoofy2 fills | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyPunahele Soriano32¢ → 0¢ | $2,933 | −$2,933 −100% | 12 |
| 48d | Numb-Sub | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyDaniil Donchenko69¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$661 +45% | 12 |
| 48d | christianox2 fills | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyPunahele Soriano33¢ → 0¢ | $5,940 | −$5,940 −100% | 12 |
| 49d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyPunahele Soriano33¢ → 0¢ | $2,251 | −$2,251 −100% | 9 |
| 49d | prtchmma | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyDaniil Donchenko69¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$459 +45% | 9 |
| 51d | themmaguru | Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko | BuyPunahele Soriano31¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
GeepaP1,359 sharesThis market will resolve to "Punahele Soriano" if Punahele Soriano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Daniil Donchenko" if Daniil Donchenko is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko means the market gives it about 0%.