Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | 0% | −39 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +34 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +31 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −32 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Rongzhu to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Garcia to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +25 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +27 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40d | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | SellRongzhu>99¢ | $4,063 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 40d | kutsumiakia | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | SellRongzhu>99¢ | $1,409 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 40d | Black-Bondsman | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | SellRongzhu91¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | −$123 −9.6% | — |
| 40d | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRongzhu88¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$240 +14% | 7 | |
| 40d | Yawning-Chicken | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | SellRongzhu71¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | −$541 −41% | — |
| 40d | Yawning-Chicken | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRongzhu76¢ → 100¢ | $3,414 | +$1,078 +32% | 10 |
| 40d | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRafa Garcia31¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 | |
| 40d | sts222 fills | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRongzhu66¢ → 100¢ | $3,007 | +$1,566 +52% | 12 |
| 40d | ferrariChampions2026 | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRongzhu56¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$933 +79% | 12 |
| 40d | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | SellRongzhu58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | −$840 −72% | — | |
| 40d | Obilic | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRongzhu59¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$697 +69% | 12 |
| 40d | kabina-2 fills | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRafa Garcia42¢ → 0¢ | $2,816 | −$2,816 −100% | 12 |
| 40d | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRongzhu59¢ → 100¢ | $4,940 | +$3,433 +69% | 12 | |
| 40d | Talvez10 | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRafa Garcia41¢ → 0¢ | $4,422 | −$4,422 −100% | 12 |
| 41d | Gold.Mansacks | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRongzhu61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 9 |
| 41d | ninenein | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRongzhu61¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$1,002 +64% | 9 |
| 41d | prtchmma | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRafa Garcia40¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 9 |
| 43d | omnibus-076daa | Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu | BuyRafa Garcia39¢ → 0¢ | $3,094 | −$3,094 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rongzhu at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Rongzhu" if Rongzhu is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu means the market gives it about 0%.