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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +78 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cerqueira vs. Yakhyaev | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cerqueira win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yakhyaev win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 334d | zxc368 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,549 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | MAGA.ONE | Fight won by submission? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,125 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | zxc368 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,165 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | zxc368 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,133 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | zxc368 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,634 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d |  InsuranceSavesMe | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,623 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 335d | CanadianGoose | Cerqueira vs. Yakhyaev | BuyYakhyaev94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 6 |
| 336d | ZerOptimist | Cerqueira vs. Yakhyaev | BuyYakhyaev92¢ → 100¢ | $16,279 | +$1,446 +8.9% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Cerqueira" if Rafael Cerqueira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025. It will resolve to "Yakhyaev" if Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fight won by submission? means the market gives it about 100%.