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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | 100% | +12 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +24 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +58 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −41 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −35 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Borjas to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −7 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tsuruya to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −16 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −61 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56d | aviato4 fills | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $27,125 | +$75 +0.3% | 4 |
| 56d |  Midrunner | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $3,493 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 56d | scooter3 | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | SellRei Tsuruya>99¢ | $1,645 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 56d | hanlun | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | SellRei Tsuruya>99¢ | $14,630 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 56d | aviato | Fight won by submission? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 56d | kutsumiakia | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | SellRei Tsuruya>99¢ | $1,385 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 56d | wtylyjwyz | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | SellRei Tsuruya>99¢ | $1,156 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 56d | hanlun2 fills | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyRei Tsuruya88¢ → 100¢ | $10,425 | +$1,392 +13% | 7 |
| 56d | TheWindKnowsmyName3 fills | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyRei Tsuruya93¢ → 100¢ | $3,596 | +$281 +7.8% | 6 |
| 56d | wtylyjwyz | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyRei Tsuruya87¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$150 +15% | 7 |
| 56d | scooter3 | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyRei Tsuruya87¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | +$214 +15% | 7 |
| 56d | TheWindKnowsmyName | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,267 | −$1,267 −100% | 12 |
| 56d | kutsumiakia | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyRei Tsuruya87¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$180 +15% | 7 |
| 56d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyKevin Borjas14¢ → 0¢ | $6,300 | −$6,300 −100% | 12 |
| 56d |  WarewaPain | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyKevin Borjas13¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 12 |
| 56d |  Socialista | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyRei Tsuruya88¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | +$276 +14% | 7 |
| 56d |  elmcap2 | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyRei Tsuruya87¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$538 +15% | 6 |
| 56d | christianox | Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas | BuyKevin Borjas13¢ → 0¢ | $1,093 | −$1,093 −100% | 9 |
WarewaPain10,007 shares
yungtrappa2,411 shares
billy5782,143 sharesThis market will resolve to "Rei Tsuruya" if Rei Tsuruya is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kevin Borjas at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Kevin Borjas" if Kevin Borjas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas means the market gives it about 100%.