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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega | 50% | — | −14 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +5 pts | +1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Moicano to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +4 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ortega to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +4 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | — | +1 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ortega in Round 2 | 50% | −5 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ortega in Round 1 | 50% | −4 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | — | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | −4 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Moicano in Round 1 | 50% | −3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Moicano in Round 2 | 50% | −4 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Moicano in Round 3 | 50% | −3 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Ortega in Round 3 | 50% | −4 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | — | +1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | Unlucky-Soul | Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega | BuyRenato Moicano51¢ → 50¢ | $6,120 | −$120 −2.0% | 6 |
| 39d | royalestake | Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega | BuyRenato Moicano51¢ → 50¢ | $5,000 | −$98 −2.0% | 6 |
| 39d | SevenTons | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder48¢ → 50¢ | $1,020 | +$32 +3.2% | 6 |
| 39d | brunomedm | Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega | BuyBrian Ortega37¢ → 50¢ | $3,467 | +$1,267 +37% | 6 |
| 39d |  Bulan | Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega | BuyBrian Ortega34¢ → 50¢ | $2,944 | +$1,344 +46% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Renato Moicano" if Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Brian Ortega at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Brian Ortega" if Brian Ortega is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Renato Moicano vs. Brian Ortega means the market gives it about 50%.