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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | 100% | +59 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −43 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moicano to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Duncan to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −40 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +14 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −24 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +63 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −42 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 0% | −34 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +32 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | −27 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202d | Wannac2 fills | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano>99¢ | $41,804 | −$42 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | Willing-Technique | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | Jamespn1 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 202d |  deca-sight | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano>99¢ | $1,879 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | Shark- | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 202d | mudman88 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano99¢ → 100¢ | $5,928 | −$60 −1.0% | — |
| 202d | hessian | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano99¢ → 100¢ | $2,468 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 202d | borntoolate.eth | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano98¢ → 100¢ | $19,796 | +$315 +1.6% | 5 |
| 202d | takeormake | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano92¢ → 100¢ | $4,975 | +$450 +9.1% | 7 |
| 202d | hessian | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano90¢ → 100¢ | $2,237 | +$248 +11% | 7 |
| 202d | hollyber | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano92¢ → 100¢ | $1,807 | +$160 +8.9% | 7 |
| 202d | mudman88 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano58¢ → 100¢ | $3,386 | +$2,452 +72% | 14 |
| 202d |  GeepaP | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano44¢ → 100¢ | $2,196 | +$2,795 +127% | 14 |
| 202d | 6yuyurrg | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan57¢ → 0¢ | $1,848 | −$1,848 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | Netrol | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano43¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | −$1,789 −133% | — |
| 202d |  berboche | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan59¢ → 0¢ | $1,219 | −$1,219 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | ohuhusos5 fills | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan57¢ → 0¢ | $176,296 | −$176K −100% | 14 |
| 202d | fourtyvolt | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano44¢ → 100¢ | $3,011 | +$3,832 +127% | 14 |
| 202d | VPenguin2 fills | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano43¢ → 100¢ | $8,540 | −$11,321 −133% | — |
| 202d | Momentumtrades2 fills | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan57¢ → 0¢ | $16,659 | −$16,659 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | hdhdhd | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan57¢ → 0¢ | $1,281 | −$1,281 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | rndmb3 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan57¢ → 0¢ | $1,461 | −$1,461 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | Heavy-Boulder | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan57¢ → 0¢ | $2,344 | −$2,344 −100% | 17 |
| 202d | 17to10k | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano45¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$1,659 +123% | 14 |
| 202d |  DONKEYFISHBET | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano44¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$1,407 +127% | 14 |
| 202d | Warm-Faucet | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan56¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | richhhhhh | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan56¢ → 0¢ | $4,081 | −$4,081 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | noMoohyun523 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan56¢ → 0¢ | $48,586 | −$48,586 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | acorp | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan54¢ → 0¢ | $16,322 | −$16,322 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | Wannac2 fills | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano45¢ → 100¢ | $12,439 | +$14,942 +120% | 12 |
| 202d | Kat2 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellChris Duncan54¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | +$1,199 +100% | — |
| 202d | Tann | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano45¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | +$1,917 +122% | 12 |
| 202d | Corny-Crisis | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano44¢ → 100¢ | $4,421 | −$5,627 −127% | — |
| 202d | Scaly-Packet | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano45¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | +$2,127 +122% | 12 |
| 202d | Kat2 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan56¢ → 0¢ | $1,779 | −$1,779 −100% | 12 |
| 202d | ChompChomp888 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano45¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$1,596 +122% | 12 |
| 202d | Corny-Crisis | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano44¢ → 100¢ | $4,349 | +$5,535 +127% | 12 |
| 202d |  joblessfinalboss | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano41¢ → 100¢ | $2,410 | +$3,469 +144% | 12 |
| 203d | Neat-Brushfire | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan59¢ → 0¢ | $2,195 | −$2,195 −100% | 12 |
| 203d | Portly-Derivation | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano41¢ → 100¢ | $11,575 | +$16,657 +144% | 9 |
| 203d | ic4cream | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver45¢ → 0¢ | $2,033 | −$2,033 −100% | 9 |
| 203d | Automatic-Estate | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano40¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$2,014 +149% | 9 |
| 203d | BTCGambler2472 fills | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | SellRenato Moicano39¢ → 100¢ | $2,147 | −$3,359 −156% | — |
| 203d | Willing-Technique | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano41¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$1,738 +144% | 9 |
| 204d | qgthjfjdhr | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan60¢ → 0¢ | $2,650 | −$2,650 −100% | 9 |
| 204d | weggfhjjutd | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan60¢ → 0¢ | $2,663 | −$2,663 −100% | 9 |
| 204d | thngnb | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano41¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | +$2,702 +144% | 9 |
| 204d | frgfbgj | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyRenato Moicano41¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | +$2,491 +144% | 9 |
| 207d | Joelczer24 | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan63¢ → 0¢ | $2,754 | −$2,754 −100% | 6 |
| 209d |  0xLoneStar | Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan | BuyChris Duncan65¢ → 0¢ | $2,244 | −$2,244 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Renato Moicano" if Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Chris Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Chris Duncan" if Chris Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan means the market gives it about 100%.