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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan | 46% | +12 pts | — | 45¢ · 47¢ (2¢) | $450 | in 8d |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Moicano to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Nolan to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Ends before Round 4? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Ends before Round 5? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Moicano in Round 1 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Moicano in Round 2 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Moicano in Round 3 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Moicano in Round 4 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Moicano in Round 5 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Nolan in Round 1 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Nolan in Round 2 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Nolan in Round 3 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Nolan in Round 4 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Nolan in Round 5 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Renato Moicano" if Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Tom Nolan" if Tom Nolan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 46¢ for Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan means the market gives it about 46%.