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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turcios vs. Smotherman | 50% | — | +12 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Smotherman win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +5 pts | +21 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Turcios win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +9 pts | +36 pts | 48¢ · 50¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | +27 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | −13 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | −13 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | −10 pts | −36 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | −10 pts | −24 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | +22 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Turcios vs. Smotherman | BuySmotherman51¢ → 50¢ | $1,009 | −$20 −2.0% | 12 |
| 273d | 4qfrankie | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo51¢ → 50¢ | $4,201 | −$82 −2.0% | 9 |
| 273d | leegunner | Turcios vs. Smotherman | SellSmotherman50¢ | $2,196 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 273d | 4qfrankie2 fills | Turcios win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo51¢ → 50¢ | $9,639 | −$189 −2.0% | 9 |
| 273d | 4qfrankie | Smotherman win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo51¢ → 50¢ | $9,673 | −$190 −2.0% | 9 |
| 273d | leo7malone1 | Turcios vs. Smotherman | BuySmotherman51¢ → 50¢ | $1,020 | −$20 −2.0% | 9 |
| 273d | Cylindrical-Cribbage | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo51¢ → 50¢ | $3,570 | −$70 −2.0% | 9 |
| 273d |  macrosteaks | Turcios vs. Smotherman | BuySmotherman54¢ → 50¢ | $1,651 | −$115 −6.9% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Turcios" if Ricky Turcios is officially declared the winner of the fight against Cameron Smotherman at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Smotherman" if Cameron Smotherman is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Turcios vs. Smotherman means the market gives it about 50%.