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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chavez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Conceição to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Conceição in Round 1 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +42 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Conceição in Round 2 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Conceição in Round 3 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Chavez in Round 1 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Chavez in Round 2 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Chavez in Round 3 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d |  Socialista | Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | BuyAlexander Chavez54¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | Elaran1993 | Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | BuyAlexander Chavez53¢ → 0¢ | $2,838 | −$2,838 −100% | 14 |
| 17d |  digitalnomad85 | Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | BuyAlexander Chavez53¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | oudine2 | Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | BuyAlexander Chavez51¢ → 0¢ | $3,570 | −$3,570 −100% | 14 |
| 17d |  Kosherlocks2 fills | Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | BuyAlexander Chavez52¢ → 0¢ | $4,679 | −$4,679 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | tenisdestroyer | Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | BuyAlexander Chavez52¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 12 |
| 17d |  VeryLucky888 | Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez | BuyAlexander Chavez50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
Kosherlocks9,032 sharesSocialista2,200 sharesdigitalnomad851,887 sharesThis market will resolve to "Roque Conceição" if Roque Conceição is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexander Chavez at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9, scheduled for October 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Alexander Chavez" if Alexander Chavez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez means the market gives it about 100%.