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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nurmagomedov vs. Basharat | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | −10 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | −10 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Basharat to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +10 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Nurmagomedov to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256d |  Rex416 | Nurmagomedov vs. Basharat | BuyNurmagomedov50¢ | $2,500 | $0 0.0% | 4 |
| 256d |  ggmggn | Nurmagomedov vs. Basharat | BuyNurmagomedov50¢ | $2,004 | $0 0.0% | 4 |
| 258d | Harmful-Wood | Nurmagomedov vs. Basharat | SellBasharat50¢ | $7,500 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 260d | revela39 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | SellOver50¢ | $1,255 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 260d | lbra4 | Nurmagomedov vs. Basharat | BuyBasharat51¢ → 50¢ | $1,005 | −$20 −2.0% | 9 |
| 260d | Harmful-Wood | Nurmagomedov vs. Basharat | BuyBasharat51¢ → 50¢ | $7,650 | −$150 −2.0% | 12 |
This market will resolve to "Nurmagomedov" if Said Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Javid Basharat at UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, scheduled for February 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Basharat" if Javid Basharat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Nurmagomedov vs. Basharat means the market gives it about 50%.