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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szalay vs. Nakamura | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nakamura to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Szalay to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d |  DONKEYFISHBET | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $1,625 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | AlphaPengu1n | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $4,020 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Szalay to win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,170 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Nakamura to win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,424 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,424 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan2 fills | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,517 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan2 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,517 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | olegio | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $11,700 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,940 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | WuTangClan | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,527 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | MAXXT | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | WuTangClan | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $2,533 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d |  sunflowaa | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $6,563 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Stormy-Sherbet | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | VPenguin | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $38,412 | −$38 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | magaplant | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $1,218 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Netrol | Szalay vs. Nakamura | SellNakamura>99¢ | $13,528 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay86¢ → 0¢ | $3,085 | −$3,085 −100% | 8 |
| 265d | c4c4 | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuyNakamura47¢ → 100¢ | $18,018 | +$20,318 +113% | 12 |
| 265d | BDJL | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay54¢ → 0¢ | $4,696 | −$4,696 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | joosangyoo3 fills | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay54¢ → 0¢ | $35,400 | −$35,400 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | 4326147991972 fills | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay54¢ → 0¢ | $18,591 | −$18,591 −100% | 9 |
| 265d | MrSparklySimpsons4 fills | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuyNakamura46¢ → 100¢ | $36,358 | +$42,684 +117% | 9 |
| 265d | sunflowaa | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuyNakamura46¢ → 100¢ | $2,958 | +$3,473 +117% | 12 |
| 265d | Ukki2 fills | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuyNakamura46¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$9,391 +117% | 12 |
| 265d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d08915 | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay56¢ → 0¢ | $1,109 | −$1,109 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | Tbonepro | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay56¢ → 0¢ | $2,240 | −$2,240 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | VPenguin2 fills | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuyNakamura45¢ → 100¢ | $10,751 | +$13,140 +122% | 12 |
| 265d | Wannac | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay55¢ → 0¢ | $11,560 | −$11,560 −100% | 12 |
| 265d | BlindOrangutan | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 12 |
| 266d | Saivestor | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay55¢ → 0¢ | $1,648 | −$1,648 −100% | 9 |
| 266d | YT-JuicySlots | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay54¢ → 0¢ | $14,069 | −$14,069 −100% | 9 |
| 266d | frankfrankfrank | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuyNakamura46¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$1,574 +117% | 9 |
| 266d | jizzbucket57 | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuyNakamura46¢ → 100¢ | $2,561 | +$3,006 +117% | 9 |
| 266d | WYNNERBACC | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay54¢ → 0¢ | $3,453 | −$3,453 −100% | 9 |
| 267d | lowkissed2 fills | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuySzalay55¢ → 0¢ | $8,125 | −$8,125 −100% | 9 |
| 269d |  Nooserac2 fills | Szalay vs. Nakamura | BuyNakamura46¢ → 100¢ | $3,740 | +$4,391 +117% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Szalay" if Sebastian Szalay is officially declared the winner of the fight against Keiichiro Nakamura at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Szalay vs. Nakamura means the market gives it about 0%.