Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spivac vs. Gaziev | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Gaziev win by KO/TKO? | 50% | −12 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Spivac win by KO/TKO? | 50% | −1 pts | — | 48¢ · 50¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | +1 pts | — | 50¢ · 52¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | −1 pts | — | 48¢ · 50¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | −1 pts | — | 48¢ · 50¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 334d | Kevin1623 | Spivac vs. Gaziev | SellSpivac49¢ → 50¢ | $1,225 | −$25 −2.0% | — |
| 334d | Marco1234 | Spivac vs. Gaziev | SellSpivac49¢ → 50¢ | $1,225 | −$25 −2.0% | — |
| 334d | James12 | Spivac vs. Gaziev | SellGaziev50¢ | $1,225 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 334d | Mokado | Spivac vs. Gaziev | SellGaziev50¢ | $1,225 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 335d | curie | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuySpivac50¢ | $1,255 | $0 0.0% | 12 |
| 335d | Spivac vs. Gaziev | SellGaziev50¢ | $7,500 | $0 0.0% | — | |
| 336d | Kevin1623 | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuySpivac50¢ | $1,250 | $0 0.0% | 9 |
| 336d | Marco1234 | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuySpivac50¢ | $1,250 | $0 0.0% | 9 |
| 336d | James12 | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuyGaziev51¢ → 50¢ | $1,250 | −$25 −2.0% | 9 |
| 336d | Mokado | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuyGaziev51¢ → 50¢ | $1,250 | −$25 −2.0% | 9 |
| 336d | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuyGaziev51¢ → 50¢ | $7,650 | −$150 −2.0% | 9 | |
| 337d | olddogalpha | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuyGaziev51¢ → 50¢ | $5,000 | −$98 −2.0% | 9 |
| 337d | kkiss | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuySpivac50¢ | $5,000 | $0 0.0% | 9 |
| 337d | majstor | Spivac vs. Gaziev | SellGaziev50¢ | $1,000 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 337d | TheCheatCode3 fills | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuyGaziev51¢ → 50¢ | $14,830 | −$291 −2.0% | 9 |
| 337d | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuySpivac49¢ → 50¢ | $1,984 | +$61 +3.1% | 6 | |
| 337d | Spivac vs. Gaziev | BuySpivac45¢ → 50¢ | $1,032 | +$107 +10% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Spivac" if Serghei Spivac is officially declared the winner of the fight against Shamil Gaziev at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025. It will resolve to "Gaziev" if Shamil Gaziev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Spivac vs. Gaziev means the market gives it about 50%.