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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Abdullayev to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nascimento to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118d | Mccain | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | SellTahir Abdullayev>99¢ | $3,322 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  B4jack | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | SellTahir Abdullayev>99¢ | $3,766 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  HeyItsOracle0 | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | SellTahir Abdullayev>99¢ | $8,311 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | Advanced-Modem | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | SellTahir Abdullayev>99¢ | $2,567 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | BountyHunterss | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | SellTahir Abdullayev>99¢ | $5,923 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  stillachance | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | SellTahir Abdullayev>99¢ | $8,118 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | kutsumiakia | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | SellTahir Abdullayev>99¢ | $1,742 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | montechristo777 | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev65¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,615 +54% | 12 |
| 118d | 6yuyurrg | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyJefferson Nascimento46¢ → 0¢ | $5,726 | −$5,726 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | Yawning-Chicken | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev50¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | +$1,579 +100% | 12 |
| 118d | 6yuyurrg | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev54¢ → 100¢ | $4,206 | +$3,622 +86% | 12 |
| 118d | Advanced-Modem | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev42¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$1,491 +138% | 12 |
| 118d | surfandturf3 fills | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyJefferson Nascimento58¢ → 0¢ | $9,257 | −$9,257 −100% | 12 |
| 118d |  Laneeee | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyJefferson Nascimento56¢ → 0¢ | $1,120 | −$1,120 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | stillachance2 fills | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev43¢ → 100¢ | $2,806 | +$3,720 +133% | 12 |
| 118d | B4jack | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev44¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$2,103 +127% | 12 |
| 118d | Gaditima | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyJefferson Nascimento57¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 12 |
| 118d |  TheOneto33 fills | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyJefferson Nascimento57¢ → 0¢ | $7,353 | −$7,353 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | bubanana | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev43¢ → 100¢ | $2,283 | +$3,027 +133% | 12 |
| 118d | BountyHunterss | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev43¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$3,284 +133% | 12 |
| 118d | Talvez10 | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyJefferson Nascimento57¢ → 0¢ | $5,163 | −$5,163 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | bubanana2 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder42¢ → 0¢ | $13,223 | −$13,223 −100% | 9 |
| 118d | Dingwin | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyJefferson Nascimento56¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 12 |
| 118d |  hampstar | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyJefferson Nascimento56¢ → 0¢ | $1,999 | −$1,999 −100% | 12 |
| 118d |  xfile | Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento | BuyTahir Abdullayev43¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | +$2,909 +133% | 12 |
| 119d | bubanana2 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | SellUnder39¢ → 0¢ | $3,491 | +$3,491 +100% | — |
E33xing2,000 sharesLaneeee2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Tahir Abdullayev" if Tahir Abdullayev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jefferson Nascimento at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026. It will resolve to "Jefferson Nascimento" if Jefferson Nascimento is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento means the market gives it about 100%.