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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | 0% | −59 pts | −62 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | +46 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −37 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taira to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −29 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Van to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +80 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +61 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +42 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +15 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +27 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | −39 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167d | Biodegradable-BoogeymanNew account | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | PCH99 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $4,907 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Ferwhere2 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van87¢ → 100¢ | $2,417 | −$349 −14% | — |
| 167d | mishipolis | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $2,724 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | ZelezReich | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $4,220 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  Lawsuitevidencaugust2026 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | dtrippy | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | hysteresis011 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | playerz | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $2,120 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  thebluegem | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Urban-PreferenceNew account | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $7,568 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | HowieRatner | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $5,983 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | West1717 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $2,493 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | joshvan | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $5,627 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  LadyLuck2 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,968 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  skitit | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Black-Bondsman | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,330 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  Judas-Priest | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | chimpchamp19283 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,180 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | X101010 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,374 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | blindsamsam | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $3,222 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Cantoso | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Ilovemywife | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $4,048 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | kkookkoo | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,242 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | 7ghreg | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $3,978 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Silly-NibbleNew account | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $14,871 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  E33xing2 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van92¢ → 100¢ | $2,971 | −$276 −9.3% | — |
| 167d | neutralwave23 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | TJRTrades | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $24,428 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Judicious-Hive-GossipNew account | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $4,625 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  Midrunner | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,258 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 167d | STC14 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,101 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Ample-Trim | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,443 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | kutsumiakia | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $1,608 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  labradoodle | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $3,812 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | 6yuyurrg | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $14,004 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  nikogeo | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $2,136 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | mudman88 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van>99¢ | $8,196 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | astaso1 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 167d | thebluegem5 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van98¢ → 100¢ | $19,589 | +$322 +1.6% | 5 |
| 167d | sts22 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van81¢ → 100¢ | $2,209 | +$532 +24% | 10 |
| 167d | E33xing3 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van71¢ → 100¢ | $5,016 | +$2,050 +41% | 14 |
| 167d | 6yuyurrg4 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van76¢ → 100¢ | $7,184 | +$2,269 +32% | 12 |
| 167d | nikogeo | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van80¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$438 +26% | 11 |
| 167d | maxgreen3 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyTatsuro Taira58¢ → 0¢ | $8,407 | −$8,407 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | epend3 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van65¢ → 100¢ | $7,130 | +$3,867 +54% | 14 |
| 167d | Urban-PreferenceNew account | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van54¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$2,646 +85% | 29 |
| 167d | 0x6db5…e2793 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyTatsuro Taira18¢ → 0¢ | $6,436 | −$6,436 −100% | 14 |
| 167d | ZelezReich | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van57¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$1,824 +76% | 14 |
| 167d |  zb8 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$840 +72% | 14 |
| 167d |  csgod | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | SellJoshua Van63¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | −$742 −58% | — |
| 167d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van76¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$633 +32% | 12 |
| 167d | mudman88 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van82¢ → 100¢ | $6,700 | +$1,505 +22% | 10 |
| 167d | labradoodle | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van81¢ → 100¢ | $2,235 | +$531 +24% | 10 |
| 167d | astaso1 | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van94¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$104 +6.1% | 6 |
| 167d | BABELCONSTEL | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$204 +2.0% | 5 |
| 167d | takeormake2 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van99¢ → 100¢ | $2,828 | +$37 +1.3% | 4 |
| 167d |  47513462 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van67¢ → 100¢ | $2,991 | +$1,506 +50% | 14 |
| 167d | 0x6db5…e2793 fills | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyJoshua Van50¢ → 100¢ | $4,381 | +$4,362 +100% | 14 |
| 167d | jeffersonlau | Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van | BuyTatsuro Taira67¢ → 0¢ | $4,043 | −$4,043 −100% | 14 |
sunflowaa17,006 shares
Barreled4Eva8,333 sharesThis market will resolve to "Tatsuro Taira" if Tatsuro Taira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Joshua Van" if Joshua Van is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van means the market gives it about 0%.