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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKinney vs. Duncan | 0% | +3 pts | +9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | +11 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | +6 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | +23 pts | +20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | −17 pts | −9 pts | 48¢ · 53¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Duncan win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +21 pts | +32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −22 pts | +9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | −1 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McKinney win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +27 pts | +27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,602 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | gem1ni | McKinney vs. Duncan | SellDuncan>99¢ | $1,850 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,486 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Duncan win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,211 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | McKinney win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,197 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,183 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight won by submission? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,851 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,197 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | arntion | McKinney vs. Duncan | SellDuncan>99¢ | $1,480 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 321d |  XSRM | McKinney vs. Duncan | SellDuncan99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 321d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$21 +2.0% | 5 |
| 321d | leo0770 | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan42¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$3,207 +141% | 14 |
| 321d |  GeepaP | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan24¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$3,800 +317% | 14 |
| 321d |  E33xing | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney90¢ → 0¢ | $1,353 | −$1,353 −100% | 7 |
| 321d | noobie111 | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney47¢ → 0¢ | $3,171 | −$3,171 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | endxd | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney47¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | XSRM | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan55¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$854 +82% | 14 |
| 321d | WYNNERBACC3 fills | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan52¢ → 100¢ | $4,860 | +$4,473 +92% | 14 |
| 321d | Dingwin2 fills | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder70¢ → 100¢ | $5,516 | +$2,413 +44% | 14 |
| 321d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089152 fills | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan51¢ → 100¢ | $4,432 | +$4,243 +96% | 14 |
| 321d | SammySledge | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan54¢ → 100¢ | $11,991 | +$10,214 +85% | 14 |
| 321d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089153 fills | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney49¢ → 0¢ | $4,700 | −$4,700 −100% | 12 |
| 321d | 92221 | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan51¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$2,401 +96% | 14 |
| 321d |  Cracotte3 fills | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney52¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | −$4,500 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | knoxgold | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney50¢ → 0¢ | $9,677 | −$9,677 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | OutterSpaceBro | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney50¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | Dingwin2 fills | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney50¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | −$4,500 −100% | 14 |
| 321d |  Ajwritescrypt0 | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | Macks22 | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney50¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 12 |
| 321d | Momentumtrades | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan51¢ → 100¢ | $2,567 | +$2,433 +95% | 12 |
| 321d | 4-seas9 fills | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyMcKinney49¢ → 0¢ | $26,014 | −$26,014 −100% | 12 |
| 321d | BlindOrangutan | McKinney vs. Duncan | SellMcKinney47¢ → 0¢ | $1,123 | +$1,123 +100% | — |
| 321d | Thirstywhalee | McKinney vs. Duncan | BuyDuncan53¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$940 +89% | 12 |
| 321d | technician2 | McKinney vs. Duncan | SellDuncan52¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | −$1,229 −92% | — |
E33xing1,503 sharesThis market will resolve to "McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner of the fight against Chris Duncan at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Duncan" if Chris Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for McKinney vs. Duncan means the market gives it about 0%.