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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | 0% | −41 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +45 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −31 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moises to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −19 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +22 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −23 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Young to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −30 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 187d | sidekicks1 | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young>99¢ | $2,493 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | mishipolis | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young>99¢ | $1,460 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | lovelife123 | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young>99¢ | $2,486 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 187d | yougotme2 fills | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young>99¢ | $5,861 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 187d | bjzhuge | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young>99¢ | $3,472 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 187d | xuyanggmail | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young>99¢ | $7,395 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 187d | selectfund6 | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young>99¢ | $4,119 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 187d |  sleepy-panda2 fills | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young>99¢ | $3,494 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 187d | MeVotedTwice | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young>99¢ | $1,750 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 187d |  berboche | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young>99¢ | $4,108 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 187d | Genuine-Screenwriting | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young99¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 187d | aviato | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 187d |  WolfiesATM | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young>99¢ | $4,495 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 187d | 6yuyurrg | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young>99¢ | $1,850 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | MAXXT | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young97¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | −$42 −3.5% | — |
| 187d |  Kh4mz4t | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young97¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | −$49 −3.2% | — |
| 187d | mwenya | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young96¢ → 100¢ | $1,916 | +$82 +4.3% | 5 |
| 187d | 6yuyurrg3 fills | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young70¢ → 100¢ | $5,978 | +$2,505 +42% | 14 |
| 187d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin2 fills | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyThiago Moises40¢ → 0¢ | $3,204 | −$3,204 −100% | 14 |
| 187d | leo0770 | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young67¢ → 100¢ | $3,208 | +$1,580 +49% | 14 |
| 187d | ohuhusos13 fills | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyThiago Moises42¢ → 0¢ | $199,837 | −$200K −100% | 14 |
| 187d | Shrill-Aunt | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | SellGauge Young59¢ → 100¢ | $11,682 | −$8,118 −69% | — |
| 187d |  beetlepimp4 fills | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young59¢ → 100¢ | $71,102 | +$49,410 +69% | 14 |
| 187d |  Painfulvoid | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young59¢ → 100¢ | $7,283 | +$5,061 +69% | 14 |
| 187d | lovelife123 | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young59¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$1,010 +69% | 14 |
| 187d | Celebrated-Picture | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young59¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$720 +69% | 17 |
| 187d | Shrill-Aunt | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young59¢ → 100¢ | $10,934 | +$7,598 +69% | 14 |
| 187d | MeVotedTwice | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young59¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$710 +69% | 14 |
| 187d | berboche | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young60¢ → 100¢ | $2,440 | +$1,627 +67% | 12 |
| 187d | Icky-Yogurt | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young60¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$781 +67% | 12 |
| 188d | elkmonkey | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young59¢ → 100¢ | $2,118 | +$1,472 +69% | 12 |
| 190d | Automatic-Estate | Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young | BuyGauge Young55¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$976 +82% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Thiago Moises" if Thiago Moises is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gauge Young at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young means the market gives it about 0%.
