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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | 100% | +48 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +48 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pat to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −31 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Petersen to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −24 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +25 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +62 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +38 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201d | Yawning-Chicken | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | SellThomas Petersen>99¢ | $3,125 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | Gorgeous-Witch | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | SellThomas Petersen>99¢ | $1,427 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 201d | randomniynickname2 fills | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | SellThomas Petersen91¢ → 100¢ | $3,614 | −$342 −9.5% | — |
| 201d | Massimo24 | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | SellThomas Petersen>99¢ | $1,248 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 201d |  csgod | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | SellThomas Petersen99¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 201d | ArchelausButeo | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyThomas Petersen97¢ → 100¢ | $4,977 | +$152 +3.1% | 5 |
| 201d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin3 fills | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat23¢ → 0¢ | $5,012 | −$5,012 −100% | 14 |
| 201d | hollyber3 fills | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyThomas Petersen82¢ → 100¢ | $7,202 | +$1,595 +22% | 10 |
| 201d | Massimo24 | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyThomas Petersen80¢ → 100¢ | $988 | +$254 +26% | 11 |
| 201d | Dishonest-Bloom | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyThomas Petersen76¢ → 100¢ | $2,328 | +$735 +32% | 12 |
| 201d |  3648393489047 | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat29¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 14 |
| 201d | borntoolate.eth | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyThomas Petersen25¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$3,241 +300% | 14 |
| 201d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat73¢ → 0¢ | $3,607 | −$3,607 −100% | 13 |
| 201d | hollyber | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat75¢ → 0¢ | $1,303 | −$1,303 −100% | 12 |
| 201d | Horrible-Faithful | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat72¢ → 0¢ | $1,634 | −$1,634 −100% | 13 |
| 201d | surfandturf | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat52¢ → 0¢ | $3,838 | −$3,838 −100% | 14 |
| 201d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | SellThomas Petersen49¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | −$2,155 −104% | — |
| 201d | surfandturf | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyThomas Petersen50¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$1,269 +100% | 14 |
| 201d | VPenguin | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | SellGuilherme Pat50¢ → 0¢ | $1,832 | +$1,832 +100% | — |
| 201d | VPenguin | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat50¢ → 0¢ | $1,373 | −$1,373 −100% | 14 |
| 201d | olegio | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat50¢ → 0¢ | $4,947 | −$4,947 −100% | 14 |
| 201d | isp | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat49¢ → 0¢ | $8,327 | −$8,327 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | Beavusandbutthead | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyThomas Petersen51¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | +$1,007 +96% | 12 |
| 202d | kevinfiederer1 | Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyThomas Petersen52¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$977 +92% | 12 |
| 203d | ve36932 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder50¢ → 0¢ | $5,112 | −$5,112 −100% | 9 |
47513463,727 shares
E33xing3,276 sharesThis market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat means the market gives it about 100%.