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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | 0% | −37 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +32 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +38 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +25 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +17 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Erceg to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −16 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −25 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −16 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elliott to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d |  rustedchevyimpala | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg>99¢ | $1,171 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | Roulette1 | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg>99¢ | $12,839 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | ElasticSoul | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg>99¢ | $2,029 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | Feromont3 fills | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg99¢ → 100¢ | $37,372 | −$401 −1.1% | — |
| 174d | Super-Spouse | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg>99¢ | $2,516 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 174d |  Eryssss | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg>99¢ | $2,934 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 174d |  E33xing | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg>99¢ | $1,198 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | rodger | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg>99¢ | $1,558 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | generalVR | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg>99¢ | $2,878 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 174d | leo07702 fills | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg86¢ → 100¢ | $10,311 | +$1,631 +16% | 8 |
| 174d | maxgreen | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuyTim Elliott36¢ → 0¢ | $4,647 | −$4,647 −100% | 12 |
| 174d |  Kangta8585 | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuyTim Elliott46¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | −$1,950 −100% | 12 |
| 174d | 0x86fb…03d4 | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg65¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,692 +54% | 12 |
| 174d | pilotbaby | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg65¢ → 100¢ | $4,723 | +$2,543 +54% | 12 |
| 174d | surfandturf | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg64¢ → 100¢ | $9,446 | +$5,313 +56% | 12 |
| 174d | Eryssss | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg64¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$900 +56% | 12 |
| 174d | brokemaxdegen | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg64¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$1,350 +56% | 12 |
| 174d | ElasticSoul | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 12 |
| 174d |  mooseborzoi4 fills | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuyTim Elliott30¢ → 0¢ | $10,816 | −$10,816 −100% | 6 |
| 174d | Iulii | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg64¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$2,194 +56% | 12 |
| 174d | Super-Spouse | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg64¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$900 +56% | 12 |
| 174d | mooseborzoi | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg63¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$1,422 +59% | 12 |
| 174d | Feromont | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg63¢ → 100¢ | $31,500 | +$18,500 +59% | 12 |
| 175d |  MistakesmadeinawalletthatIcontrolled | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | SellSteve Erceg62¢ → 100¢ | $19,440 | −$11,911 −61% | — |
| 175d | MistakesmadeinawalletthatIcontrolled | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg62¢ → 100¢ | $8,370 | +$5,130 +61% | 9 |
| 175d | lonelyMan91 | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuyTim Elliott39¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 9 |
| 175d | Pessimistic-Vault2 fills | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg69¢ → 100¢ | $4,857 | +$2,143 +44% | 6 |
| 175d | Gerroepapi2 fills | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg64¢ → 100¢ | $8,041 | +$4,523 +56% | 9 |
| 180d | lpcapital1 | Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg | BuySteve Erceg75¢ → 100¢ | $7,052 | +$2,351 +33% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg means the market gives it about 0%.