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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | 100% | +40 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +67 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −48 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| McMillen to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −33 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +40 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rahiki to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −31 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +61 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +30 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41d | Betss | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | SellTommy McMillen>99¢ | $1,590 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | NXYD | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | SellTommy McMillen>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | mots222 | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | SellTommy McMillen>99¢ | $2,001 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | 0x1507…e175 | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | SellTommy McMillen>99¢ | $1,775 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | AnonymousPerson | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen>99¢ | $4,056 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 41d | MahammadBruceLee | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | SellTommy McMillen99¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 41d |  36483934890472 fills | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen71¢ → 100¢ | $19,258 | +$7,991 +41% | 14 |
| 41d | NXYD2 fills | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen88¢ → 100¢ | $2,549 | +$358 +14% | 8 |
| 41d | kutsumiakia2 fills | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen95¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$122 +5.8% | 6 |
| 41d | generalVR2 fills | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen97¢ → 100¢ | $4,658 | +$142 +3.0% | 5 |
| 41d | Flawed-Trance | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | SellTommy McMillen92¢ → 100¢ | $2,269 | −$197 −8.7% | — |
| 41d |  47513463 fills | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen81¢ → 100¢ | $4,991 | +$1,202 +24% | 10 |
| 41d | farmer112 | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen79¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$331 +27% | 11 |
| 41d | Flawed-Trance2 fills | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen76¢ → 100¢ | $3,050 | +$960 +31% | 12 |
| 41d | Black-Bondsman | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen66¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$507 +51% | 14 |
| 41d |  Mr.Ape | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen67¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$489 +48% | 14 |
| 41d | MadeiraIsland | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | SellTommy McMillen67¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | −$1,100 −49% | — |
| 41d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen65¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$538 +54% | 14 |
| 41d | Substantial-Service | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen61¢ → 100¢ | $17,423 | +$11,139 +64% | 14 |
| 41d | TheWindKnowsmyName | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$2,198 +203% | 14 |
| 41d | Gold.Mansacks2 fills | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen60¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,959 +65% | 9 |
| 41d | wtylyjwyz | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyMarwan Rahiki40¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | −$1,046 −100% | 14 |
| 41d | shiamishi | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,959 | −$2,959 −100% | 14 |
| 41d | OwlFund2 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $3,703 | +$9,523 +257% | 14 |
| 41d |  Nooserac2 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $5,600 | +$14,400 +257% | 14 |
| 41d | MadeiraIsland | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen61¢ → 100¢ | $3,029 | +$1,937 +64% | 14 |
| 41d | kkookkoo | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,765 | −$1,765 −100% | 14 |
| 41d | WhiteMonster7 | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyMarwan Rahiki40¢ → 0¢ | $2,608 | −$2,608 −100% | 14 |
| 41d |  njch.las | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyMarwan Rahiki40¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 12 |
| 41d | DEGENKAT | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | SellMarwan Rahiki39¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | +$1,300 +100% | — |
| 41d | DEGENKAT | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyMarwan Rahiki40¢ → 0¢ | $1,334 | −$1,334 −100% | 12 |
| 41d | C63AMG | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyMarwan Rahiki40¢ → 0¢ | $3,008 | −$3,008 −100% | 12 |
| 41d | 0x8ba2…1650 | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyMarwan Rahiki41¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 12 |
| 42d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen60¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$685 +67% | 9 |
| 42d | prtchmma | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyMarwan Rahiki41¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 9 |
| 42d | themmaguru | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen60¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,030 +68% | 9 |
| 46d | omnibus-076daa | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyMarwan Rahiki40¢ → 0¢ | $2,926 | −$2,926 −100% | 6 |
| 47d | twotontony | Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki | BuyTommy McMillen62¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$922 +62% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Marwan Rahiki" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki means the market gives it about 100%.