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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −95 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602d | rpo | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,618 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 602d |  MotherTheresa3 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,563 | +$43 +0.3% | 20 |
| 602d | b4k9xj2wh | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,995 | +$36 +0.2% | 20 |
| 602d |  d1k21 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 602d | rpo | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,562 | +$14 +0.4% | 20 |
| 602d | Dogsinapile2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,396 | −$36 −1.1% | — |
| 602d |  bottling | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 602d |  KimJonEn | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 602d |  Car3 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,100 | +$157 +1.6% | 20 |
| 602d |  Gooddfella | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,534 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 602d | fullhedge | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$10 +0.9% | 20 |
| 602d |  100Gwei | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,684 | +$32 +1.2% | 20 |
| 602d | mikuhatsune | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$23 +1.6% | 20 |
| 602d | Monstera | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 602d |  MaverickMoves | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,539 | +$88 +1.6% | 20 |
| 602d | mrtito | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | −$75 −3.8% | — |
| 602d |  dotethguy | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$26 +2.4% | 20 |
| 602d | SweetChariot2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,394 | +$187 +4.2% | 20 |
| 602d |  xoxoxololxo | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$61 +2.4% | 20 |
| 602d | BrownBee3 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,883 | +$104 +2.7% | 20 |
| 602d | Car | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | −$35 −2.7% | — |
| 602d |  Yermak3 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,444 | +$64 +1.9% | 20 |
| 602d | Gooddfella | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$59 +2.4% | 20 |
| 602d |  Axios | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,408 | −$161 −4.7% | — |
| 602d | bottling | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | −$67 −4.0% | — |
| 602d |  Obtio | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,630 | +$113 +1.2% | 20 |
| 602d |  Kickstand7 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $25,418 | +$1,338 +5.3% | 20 |
| 602d |  robbo-595 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $13,260 | +$983 +7.4% | 20 |
| 602d | Kapii | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,310 | +$690 +7.4% | 20 |
| 602d | Aquati | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$48 +3.1% | 20 |
| 602d |  loser-342 | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | +$85 +6.4% | 20 |
| 603d | RiskOn | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $3,785 | −$3,785 −100% | 21 |
| 604d |  slurpslurpslurp | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 22 |
| 604d | MotherTheresa2 fills | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $2,910 | −$2,910 −100% | 21 |
| 604d | FacuGOLAZO | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | SellYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | +$1,069 +100% | — |
| 604d | FacuGOLAZO | Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday? | BuyYes98¢ → 0¢ | $5,998 | −$5,998 −100% | 20 |
Nuked1716 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 25 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian rare earth elements or minerals. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the exchange of Ukrainian rare earths for U.S. aid (military or civilian), partnerships involving rare earth metals, future rights to rare earth resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to rare earth elements. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.