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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 781d |  🍝👹 | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,296 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 781d | copy4259 | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,414 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 781d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 781d |  elmcap22 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $91,942 | +$117 +0.1% | 4 |
| 781d |  MineGuyBonds | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,241 | +$35 +0.2% | 4 |
| 781d |  50Whence | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 782d |  scottilicious | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,633 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 782d |  MisTKy32 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,884 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 782d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 782d |  MLBksRETARD | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,849 | +$32 +0.1% | 4 |
| 783d |  BlackSky123 | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 783d | Hhkcg | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,742 | +$23 +0.1% | 4 |
| 783d |  RockyZet | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,399 | +$12 +0.5% | 4 |
| 783d |  hot-097 | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 783d | Qtyu5 fills | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,146 | +$83 +0.9% | 4 |
| 783d |  Car | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,759 | +$198 +5.3% | 4 |
| 783d |  grugzilla | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $12,995 | +$380 +2.9% | 4 |
| 783d | cozywild | Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$935 −67% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow or any target within the municipality between August 27 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.