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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307d | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,213 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 310d | trampec | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 368d | Drafty-Estrogen2 fills | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,684 | +$52 +1.9% | 4 |
| 400d | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$23 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 508d | Sparkles | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | −$54 −4.0% | — |
| 529d | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | −$80 −4.2% | — | |
| 531d | keribit | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | +$95 +5.3% | 4 |
| 543d | ImHereForTheRewards2 fills | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,923 | +$199 +6.8% | 4 |
| 558d | crytic | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$107 +6.4% | 4 |
| 596d | Sparkles | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$98 +7.5% | 4 |
| 655d | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | +$160 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 661d | Octopod | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | −$190 −11% | — |
| 661d | Octopod | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | +$171 +9.9% | 4 |
| 662d | gandalf | Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$113 +11% | 4 |
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.