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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leinster | 100% | +42 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Munster | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Connacht | 0% | −41 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ulster | 0% | −47 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cardiff | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dragons | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ospreys | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scarlets | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Edinburgh | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Glasgow Warriors | 0% | −45 pts | −40 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulls | 0% | −22 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lions | 0% | −20 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sharks | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stormers | 0% | −21 pts | −23 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Benetton | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zebre Parma | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Team A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Team J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final per the rules of the United Rugby Championship (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by United Rugby Championship rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final is cancelled, postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 AM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United Rugby Championship; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Leinster means the market gives it about 100%.