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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +61 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −24 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −28 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −7 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −10 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −19 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 370d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $2,156 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 370d | tcp2 | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $1,171 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 370d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$60 +5.4% | 6 |
Novus0rdoSeclorum21 sharesThis is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for October 19, 2025. If the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after December 1, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA’s official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.