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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 100% | +71 pts | +79 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bulgaria | 0% | −41 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg) | 0% | −30 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | BBQChickenisthebesttt | Luxembourg | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | graziek99 | Bulgaria | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | olpy2 fills | Luxembourg | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,219 | +$167 +1.3% | 4 |
| 27d | cobaltwhisper23 | Bulgaria | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 27d | SplendidAmadeus | Luxembourg | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,152 | +$348 +6.8% | 4 |
| 27d | xxyx0xx2 fills | Luxembourg | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,427 | +$359 +10% | 4 |
| 27d | BBQChickenisthebesttt | Luxembourg | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$739 +37% | 4 |
| 27d | graziek99 | Bulgaria | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$75 +5.3% | 4 |
| 27d | pagliacci4 | Bulgaria | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$82 +5.3% | 4 |
| 27d | d0082 fills | Bulgaria | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$257 +5.1% | 4 |
| 27d | Flaznorp | Luxembourg | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$512 +43% | 4 |
| 27d | dbbbt | Bulgaria | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 4 |
| 27d | dbbbt5 fills | Luxembourg | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $9,245 | −$9,245 −100% | 4 |
| 27d | 0x2f26…94a1 | Bulgaria | SellYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,210 | +$1,210 +100% | — |
| 27d | shyu50002 fills | Luxembourg | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $3,140 | −$3,140 −100% | 4 |
| 27d | Spiteful-Outlook | Bulgaria | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | +$1,280 +100% | — |
| 27d | UpTheBlues | Luxembourg | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,902 | +$4,892 +257% | 14 |
| 27d | UpTheBlues | Bulgaria | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | +$1,048 +64% | 14 |
| 27d | itb08081982 | Bulgaria | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | HAGIII | Bulgaria | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,778 | −$1,778 −100% | 14 |
| 27d |  ComingBack | Bulgaria | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 27d | 0xc3ed…9f79 | Bulgaria | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$959 +64% | 14 |
| 27d |  FaroeseNationalist | Bulgaria | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 14 |
| 27d |  mooseborzoi | Bulgaria | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | −$1,058 −100% | 14 |
| 28d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Bulgaria | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,181 | −$1,181 −100% | 14 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Bulgaria and Luxembourg.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Luxembourg means the market gives it about 100%.