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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Estonia vs. Iceland) | 100% | +76 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Estonia | 0% | −15 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland | 0% | −61 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d | Adept-Oleo | Draw (Estonia vs. Iceland) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,665 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | Draw (Estonia vs. Iceland) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$29 +1.5% | 4 | |
| 17d | Flaznorp | Draw (Estonia vs. Iceland) | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | +$204 +16% | 4 |
| 17d | GoalLineGhost | Iceland | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$556 +45% | 4 |
| 17d | Flaznorp2 fills | Iceland | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,696 | −$2,696 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | Weepy-Swordfish | Iceland | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,107 | +$1,107 +100% | — |
| 17d | GoalLineGhost | Estonia | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$341 +22% | 4 |
| 17d | sss.tier | Iceland | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $3,404 | +$3,404 +100% | — |
| 17d | Iceland | SellNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | −$2,427 −127% | — | |
| 17d | Iceland | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | +$2,499 +140% | 4 | |
| 17d | GoalLineGhost | Iceland | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,585 | −$1,585 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | Oliveira39 | Iceland | BuyNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$2,217 +150% | 14 |
| 17d | sss.tier | Iceland | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $4,066 | −$4,066 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | sugar-super | Iceland | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | Zzzz872 fills | Draw (Estonia vs. Iceland) | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $10,070 | +$30,211 +300% | 14 |
| 17d | Iceland | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 | |
| 17d | UpTheBlues | Iceland | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | −$1,063 −100% | 12 |
| 19d | Tys0n8686 | Iceland | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | −$1,069 −100% | 9 |
| 19d | Gladiator022 fills | Iceland | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $2,705 | +$3,175 +117% | 9 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Estonia and Iceland.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (Estonia vs. Iceland) means the market gives it about 100%.