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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 0% | −49 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 | 0% | −93 pts | −86 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland (-1.5) | 0% | −35 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% | −28 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-3.5) | 0% | −1 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% | −13 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% | −74 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-1.5) | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −70 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland O/U 0.5 | 0% | −84 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 0.5 | 0% | −57 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland (-3.5) | 0% | −6 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −29 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −33 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland (-2.5) | 0% | −16 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland O/U 2.5 | 0% | −28 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 1.5 | 0% | −20 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland O/U 1.5 | 0% | −55 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland O/U 4.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −78 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-5.5) | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 5.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 2.5 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-2.5) | 0% | −1 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% | −17 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −12 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 3.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 4.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland O/U 5.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −17 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −17 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-4.5) | 0% | −50 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland (-4.5) | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland (-5.5) | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −7 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland O/U 3.5 | 0% | −11 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −47 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −57 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −18 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −13 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −45 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −19 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −38 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −64 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −27 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −37 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d | 0x2f26…94a1 | O/U 2.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $4,398 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | 0x8191…da726 fills | O/U 0.5 | BuyUnder59¢ → 100¢ | $10,460 | +$7,288 +70% | 4 |
| 17d | Flaznorp | O/U 0.5 | BuyUnder79¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | +$332 +27% | 4 |
| 17d | UpTheBlues | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $5,311 | +$59 +1.1% | 4 |
| 17d | Flaznorp | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder99¢ → 100¢ | $9,816 | +$99 +1.0% | 4 |
| 17d | GoalLineGhost | Iceland (-1.5) | BuyEstonia83¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$246 +20% | 4 |
| 17d | Flaznorp | O/U 0.5 | BuyOver78¢ → 0¢ | $1,812 | −$1,812 −100% | 4 |
| 17d | Flaznorp | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder80¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$420 +25% | 4 |
| 17d | 0x8191…da722 fills | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BuyUnder86¢ → 100¢ | $2,669 | +$417 +16% | 4 |
| 17d | Cold-Beech-Ability | Iceland O/U 0.5 | BuyOver83¢ → 0¢ | $4,124 | −$4,124 −100% | 4 |
| 17d | Winning2... | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver46¢ → 0¢ | $1,906 | −$1,906 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | rabbitfoot1 | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 100¢ | $2,352 | +$2,086 +89% | 14 |
| 17d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Estonia (-1.5) | BuyIceland95¢ → 100¢ | $5,789 | +$305 +5.3% | 6 |
| 17d |  RN1 | Estonia (-3.5) | BuyIceland99¢ → 100¢ | $3,643 | +$37 +1.0% | 4 |
| 17d | Flaznorp | Estonia (-3.5) | BuyIceland99¢ → 100¢ | $3,836 | +$39 +1.0% | 4 |
| 17d | Stavaharon | Iceland (-1.5) | BuyIceland35¢ → 0¢ | $2,505 | −$2,505 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | ferrariChampions2026 | Iceland (-1.5) | BuyIceland35¢ → 0¢ | $3,502 | −$3,502 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder54¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$963 +85% | 14 |
| 17d | kate20260824 | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver47¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 17d | Tianhe | Iceland (-3.5) | BuyEstonia96¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$106 +4.2% | 5 |
| 18d | 0x2f26…94a13 fills | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder51¢ → 100¢ | $3,367 | +$3,235 +96% | 12 |
ComingBack2,084 sharesMore markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:45 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for O/U 2.5 means the market gives it about 0%.