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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% | −66 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% | −19 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −27 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% | −47 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-1.5) | 0% | −12 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −8 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-2.5) | 0% | −3 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% | −8 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 1.5 | 0% | −32 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% | +11 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 1.5 | 0% | −28 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-1.5) | 0% | −14 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −40 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-2.5) | 0% | −5 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +36 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −20 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 0.5 | 0% | −70 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −72 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 2.5 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −37 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −30 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% | −22 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +62 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Estonia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 4.5 | 0% | −18 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 5.5 | 0% | −18 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 4.5 | 0% | −20 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 3.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-3.5) | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-3.5) | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-4.5) | 0% | −45 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-4.5) | 0% | −44 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia (-5.5) | 0% | −45 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-5.5) | 0% | −44 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 0% | −24 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 0.5 | 100% | +33 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Estonia O/U 3.5 | 0% | −7 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 5.5 | 0% | −45 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −44 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 0% | −44 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −67 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −52 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −49 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −46 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −14 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −48 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −48 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | ric88888 | Estonia (-1.5) | SellLuxembourg>99¢ | $1,639 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm | O/U 2.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $4,403 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | FinalOrder | O/U 2.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $10,102 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | Flaznorp6 fills | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder72¢ → 100¢ | $11,319 | +$4,490 +40% | 4 |
| 20d | Flaznorp3 fills | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder83¢ → 100¢ | $4,065 | +$833 +20% | 4 |
| 20d | UpTheBlues2 fills | O/U 1.5 | BuyUnder48¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$4,725 +106% | 4 |
| 20d | Substantial-Service | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder97¢ → 100¢ | $17,964 | +$556 +3.1% | 4 |
| 20d | GoalLineGhost | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder97¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$42 +3.1% | 4 |
| 20d | UpTheBlues5 fills | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder65¢ → 100¢ | $13,149 | +$7,018 +53% | 4 |
| 20d | Flaznorp | Both Teams to Score | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$829 +67% | 4 |
| 20d | AGUGava | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder92¢ → 100¢ | $10,528 | +$967 +9.2% | 4 |
| 20d |  xhxtxh2 fills | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder63¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$5,873 +59% | 4 |
| 20d | bluemario | O/U 1.5 | BuyUnder28¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | +$3,602 +257% | 4 |
| 20d | Flaznorp | O/U 1.5 | BuyOver75¢ → 0¢ | $1,163 | −$1,163 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | ric88888 | Estonia (-1.5) | BuyLuxembourg68¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$525 +47% | 4 |
| 20d | FinalOrder | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder49¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$5,112 +102% | 4 |
| 20d | Flaznorp2 fills | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver55¢ → 0¢ | $2,027 | −$2,027 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | gollaza | O/U 2.5 | SellOver54¢ → 0¢ | $2,351 | +$2,351 +100% | — |
| 20d | Flaznorp | 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder97¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$108 +3.1% | 4 |
| 20d | mblight | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver84¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | gollaza | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 0¢ | $2,440 | −$2,440 −100% | 4 |
| 20d |  RN13 fills | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 0¢ | $10,793 | −$10,793 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | AGUGava2 fills | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder42¢ → 100¢ | $9,364 | +$12,728 +136% | 4 |
| 20d | UpTheBlues | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver58¢ → 0¢ | $2,647 | −$2,647 −100% | 4 |
| 20d |  dingzong2222 | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver62¢ → 0¢ | $2,111 | −$2,111 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | xhxtxh | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder68¢ → 100¢ | $4,073 | +$1,917 +47% | 4 |
| 20d | mblight | O/U 1.5 | BuyOver94¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 20d |  ComingBack | O/U 1.5 | BuyOver62¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 1.5 | BuyUnder38¢ → 100¢ | $1,633 | +$2,664 +163% | 14 |
| 20d | Winning2... | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver35¢ → 0¢ | $1,225 | −$1,225 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 1.5 | BuyOver62¢ → 0¢ | $4,308 | −$4,308 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder67¢ → 100¢ | $2,953 | +$1,454 +49% | 14 |
| 21d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder68¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | +$961 +47% | 12 |
EdwardIN1,249 sharesMore markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for O/U 2.5 means the market gives it about 0%.