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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (France vs. Italy) | 100% | +81 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −68 pts | −70 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | −13 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | tututuututt | France | SellNo>99¢ | $3,088 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Draw (France vs. Italy) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,086 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 21d | 0x7756…e674 | Draw (France vs. Italy) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Santosh001 | Draw (France vs. Italy) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,708 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | PSGS | Draw (France vs. Italy) | SellYes>99¢ | $7,568 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Giving-Detector | Draw (France vs. Italy) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,088 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | xabidaking | Draw (France vs. Italy) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,466 | −$55 −1.0% | — |
| 21d | SharkVision | France | SellNo>99¢ | $3,837 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | PSGS2 fills | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$57 +2.3% | 4 |
| 21d | SharkVision2 fills | France | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $7,747 | +$1,497 +19% | 4 |
| 21d | xxyx0xx | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,669 | +$88 +5.3% | 4 |
| 21d | France | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | +$26 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 21d | betfairzices2 fills | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,890 | +$531 +14% | 4 |
| 21d | Giving-Detector | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$90 +9.0% | 4 |
| 21d | Flaznorp | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$179 +16% | 4 |
| 21d | Santosh001 | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,093 | +$618 +20% | 4 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues12 fills | France | BuyNo35¢ → 100¢ | $29,305 | +$55,059 +188% | 12 |
| 21d | Flaznorp9 fills | France | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $14,946 | +$23,765 +159% | 14 |
| 21d | Sofiazinha2 fills | France | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,003 | −$659 −13% | — |
| 21d | Hellinas | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$266 +27% | 4 |
| 21d | Flaznorp2 fills | Italy | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,219 | +$868 +17% | 4 |
| 21d | France | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $4,240 | +$1,740 +41% | 4 | |
| 21d | NX-Trading2 fills | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,471 | +$942 +38% | 4 |
| 21d | Yawning-Chicken | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,247 | −$1,247 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$589 +39% | 4 | |
| 21d | Rotating-Snuggle | France | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,269 | +$1,269 +100% | — |
| 21d | Sofiazinha | France | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $13,646 | +$3,655 +27% | 4 |
| 21d | Enraged-Planning-Transformation | France | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,090 | −$1,090 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | Flaznorp | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | olpy | France | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$744 +56% | 4 |
| 21d | suntori3 fills | France | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $11,693 | −$11,693 −100% | 14 |
| 21d | OldZz | France | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,420 | −$1,420 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | 0x7756…e674 | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$1,066 +103% | 4 |
| 21d | Hoch | Italy | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 4 |
| 21d | 0x78be…bde0 | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | +$2,007 +106% | 4 |
| 21d | xabidaking | Draw (France vs. Italy) | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $2,539 | +$2,983 +117% | 4 |
| 21d | olpy | France | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,323 | −$1,323 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | GoalLineGhost | France | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$1,017 +79% | 4 |
| 21d | 1234162 | France | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | −$955 −72% | — |
| 21d | Whole-Leading | France | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $20,000 | −$20,000 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | Alireza- | France | SellYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,512 | +$1,512 +100% | — |
| 21d | Rotating-Snuggle | France | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $6,739 | −$6,739 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | France | SellYes83¢ → 0¢ | $2,765 | +$2,765 +100% | — | |
| 21d | Momo633 fills | Italy | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $18,602 | +$1,136 +6.1% | 4 |
| 21d | Precious-Radar-AnchovyNew account | France | SellYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,099 | +$1,099 +100% | — |
| 21d | Flaznorp3 fills | France | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $17,072 | −$17,072 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues2 fills | France | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $2,538 | −$2,538 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | GoalLineGhost | France | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,054 | −$1,054 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | SEP10 | France | SellYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,573 | +$1,573 +100% | — |
| 21d | SEP10 | France | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | Flaznorp | Italy | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | Unrealistic-Cry | Italy | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | NordhavenCap | Italy | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$121 +11% | 4 |
| 21d | 1234162 | France | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,273 +127% | 4 |
| 21d | jaytee158 | Italy | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $8,807 | +$1,434 +16% | 4 |
| 21d | 0x4fdc…ca1f | France | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $8,263 | +$10,517 +127% | 4 |
| 21d | zzqq35 | France | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | GoalLineGhost | Italy | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$207 +16% | 4 |
| 21d | forrestgumper | France | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $2,197 | +$2,197 +100% | — |
| 21d | jorge100 | France | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | +$1,011 +100% | — |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 between France and Italy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (France vs. Italy) means the market gives it about 100%.