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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 100% | +33 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Iceland vs. Bulgaria) | 0% | −21 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria | 0% | −12 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | EdgeBot1 | Iceland | SellYes>99¢ | $3,536 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | horrocrux | Iceland | SellYes>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | sport-intelligence | Iceland | SellYes>99¢ | $15,577 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Iceland | SellYes>99¢ | $5,965 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | opsss111 | Iceland | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 20d | pagliacci4 | Iceland | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,128 | +$32 +1.0% | 4 |
| 20d | opsss111 | Iceland | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$24 +2.0% | 4 |
| 20d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Iceland | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,171 | +$98 +3.1% | 4 |
| 20d | UpTheBlues | Draw (Iceland vs. Bulgaria) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$56 +4.2% | 4 |
| 20d | GoalLineGhost | Iceland | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,402 | +$157 +4.6% | 4 |
| 20d | SharkVision4 fills | Iceland | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,962 | +$265 +3.8% | 4 |
| 21d | EdgeBot1 | Iceland | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,390 +69% | 4 |
| 21d | FinalOrder | Iceland | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | CryptoJohnMax2 fills | Iceland | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,175 +59% | 4 |
| 21d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Iceland | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | +$2,161 +57% | 4 |
| 21d | doksaodk | Iceland | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$677 +49% | 4 |
| 21d | BBQChickenisthebesttt | Iceland | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$603 +56% | 4 |
| 21d |  RN1 | Iceland | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | −$1,166 −100% | 4 |
| 21d | horrocrux | Iceland | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$613 +61% | 4 |
| 21d | Zzzz87 | Iceland | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $8,500 | +$4,690 +55% | 14 |
| 21d | sport-intelligence | Iceland | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$5,592 +56% | 14 |
| 21d | sbsigner | Bulgaria | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,665 | +$759 +16% | 9 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues | Iceland | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | −$1,078 −100% | 14 |
| 21d | SplendidAmadeus | Bulgaria | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,355 | +$422 +13% | 8 |
| 21d |  us391 | Iceland | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | −$1,480 −100% | 12 |
us3916,071 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Iceland and Bulgaria.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Iceland means the market gives it about 100%.