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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Iceland vs. Estonia) | 100% | +84 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iceland | 0% | −76 pts | −67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia | 0% | −7 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | Valuable-Span-Casket | Iceland | SellNo>99¢ | $2,858 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | karasik04 | Draw (Iceland vs. Estonia) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,166 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Iceland | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $3,824 | +$4,343 +114% | 12 |
| 27d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Estonia | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,156 | +$259 +6.2% | 4 |
| 27d | Flaznorp | Iceland | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$818 +79% | 4 |
| 27d | karasik04 | Draw (Iceland vs. Estonia) | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,168 +117% | 4 |
| 27d | karasik04 | Iceland | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | +$1,190 +100% | — |
| 27d | Flaznorp2 fills | Iceland | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $2,426 | −$2,426 −100% | 10 |
| 27d | n.maga | Iceland | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $1,208 | −$1,208 −100% | 4 |
| 27d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Iceland | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $2,561 | −$2,561 −100% | 12 |
| 27d | Iceland | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,019 | −$1,019 −100% | 12 | |
| 27d | GoalLineGhost | Iceland | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,106 | −$1,106 −100% | 12 |
| 27d | shxtest1 | Iceland | BuyNo24¢ → 100¢ | $3,306 | +$10,469 +317% | 14 |
| 27d | karasik04 | Iceland | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $1,909 | −$1,909 −100% | 12 |
| 27d | kmak1 | Iceland | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $12,500 | −$12,500 −100% | 12 |
| 27d | Nippy-Connection | Iceland | BuyNo25¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$4,650 +300% | 14 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Iceland and Estonia.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (Iceland vs. Estonia) means the market gives it about 100%.